Result
2:0
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group
- Referee: Roth M. (Fin)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Finland | Ruutu+ |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (402/482) | 86% (487/567) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (402/482) | 86% (487/567) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (20/50) | 53% (32/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (54/80) | 75% (109/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 13% (3/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Silander S. ↓, Salmensuu O. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 0, Andersson L. ⚽,
- 61', Harrison S. ↓, Makelainen J. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 0, Enqvist D. ⚽, Heyden J. (A),
- 65', Andersson L. ↓, Nunez W. ↑,
- 65', Dahlstrom S. ↓, Cardoso H. ↑,
- 69', Korkko J. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑,
- 74', Kujasalo N. ↓, Holmberg R. ↑,
- 85', Heyden J. ↓, Jansson M. ↑,
- 85', Huttunen A. ↓, Lundberg A. ↑,
- 86', Ghezali L. ↓, Piirto L. ↑,
- 90', Nissinen J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
IFK Mariehamn 27.1% | Draw 27.8% | Oulu 45.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
IFK Mariehamn - Oulu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.48 ↑ (3.35) |
3.39 ↓ (3.65) |
2.12 ↑ (2.11) |
5.4% (4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for IFK Mariehamn - Oulu?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Mariehamn will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Oulu will win (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 3.
- In recent matches, Mariehamn has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Oulu is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Oulu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mariehamn: Adedoyin K.
(Yellow Cards)
Kivikko M.
(Inactive)
Raitanen P.
(Knee Injury)
Toivonen E.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Oulu: Barrow D.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has IFK Mariehamn won against Oulu?
IFK Mariehamn has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oulu won against IFK Mariehamn?
Oulu has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Mariehamn - Oulu were as follows:
26.07.2025
IFK Mariehamn
-
Oulu
0:1
17.05.2025
Oulu
-
IFK Mariehamn
0:1
19.10.2024
Oulu
-
IFK Mariehamn
1:2
01.09.2024
IFK Mariehamn
-
Oulu
2:1
17.05.2024
Oulu
-
IFK Mariehamn
1:1
Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 55:31 | 24 | 57 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 53:27 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | SJK | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 62:45 | 17 | 54 |
| 4 | Ilves | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 59:38 | 21 | 53 |
| 5 | HJK | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 70:44 | 26 | 47 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 43:56 | -13 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )