Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
7:5
27/12/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3331
Shots off target
923
Shooting PCT
21.21% (7/33)16.13% (5/31)
Blocked Shots
57
Goalkeeper Saves
2626
Saves PCT
83.87% (26/31)81.25% (26/32)
Penalties
24
PIM
48
Power-play Goals
20
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (2/4)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)50% (2/4)
Hits
3332
Faceoffs Won
2530
Faceoffs %
45.4554.55
Giveaways
1718
Takeaways
64
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 00:12, Zetterlund F. (2 min),
  • 00:40, 1 - 0, Nylander W. (G), Matthews A. (A), Maccelli M. (A2)
  • 07:50, Myers P. (2 min),
  • 13:07, Tkachuk B. (2 min),
  • 14:42, 2 - 0, Knies M. (G), Domi M. (A), Robertson N. (A2)
  • 17:50, 2 - 1, Cousins N. (G), Spence J. (A), Halliday S. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (3 - 1)
  • 00:18, 2 - 2, Greig R. (G), Giroux C. (A),
  • 03:28, 3 - 2, McMann B. (G), Matthews A. (A), Domi M. (A2)
  • 07:28, 4 - 2, Matthews A. (G), Domi M. (A), McCabe J. (A2)
  • 07:28, Ullmark L. ↓, Merilainen L. ↑,
  • 08:32, 5 - 2, Robertson N. (G), Knies M. (A), Roy N. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 3)
  • 00:14, 5 - 3, Batherson D. (G), Cozens D. (A), Tkachuk B. (A2)
  • 01:47, Batherson D. (2 min),
  • 01:47, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
  • 05:07, 5 - 4, Stutzle T. (G), Zetterlund F. (A),
  • 05:53, 6 - 4, Knies M. (G), Maccelli M. (A), Rielly M. (A2)
  • 09:18, 6 - 5, Spence J. (G), Giroux C. (A), Halliday S. (A2)
  • 12:46, Sanderson J. (2 min),
  • 18:44, 7 - 5, Tavares J. (G),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
35%		Draw
22.2%		Ottawa Senators
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 21% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 19.4% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto Maple Leafs's form might have worsened.
  • Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ottawa Senators's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Maple Leafs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ottawa Senators, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.71 ↑
    (2.18)    		 4.32 ↓
    (4.62)    		 2.22 ↓
    (2.8)    		 5.2%
    (3.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Ottawa will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ottawa: 56% – 94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ottawa Senators will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
    • Toronto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ottawa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B. (Lower-Body Injury) Mermis D. (Lower-Body Injury) Stolarz A. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Ottawa: Eller L. (Lower-Body Injury) Kleven T. (Lower-Body Injury) Pinto S. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 54:64. (average 2.7:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:38. (average 2.6:3.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators were as follows:
    23.09.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators 2:3
    21.09.2025 Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4
    01.05.2025 Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:4
    29.04.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators 0:4
    26.04.2025 Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:3
    Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
    23.12.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Pittsburgh Penguins 6:3 ✺
    21.12.2025 Dallas Stars - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Nashville Predators - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:3 ✺
    18.12.2025 Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:0 ✺
    16.12.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Chicago Blackhawks 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Ottawa Senators
    23.12.2025 Ottawa Senators - Buffalo Sabres 2:3 ✺
    21.12.2025 Boston Bruins - Ottawa Senators 2:6 ✺
    20.12.2025 Ottawa Senators - Chicago Blackhawks 6:4 ✺
    18.12.2025 Ottawa Senators - Pittsburgh Penguins 4:0 ✺
    15.12.2025 Winnipeg Jets - Ottawa Senators 2:3 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche5534399212:13883
    2Dallas Stars58296914197:16179
    3Minnesota Wild5821131014196:16978
    4Vegas Golden Knights572071416191:17968
    5Utah Mammoth57237423183:15764
    6Edmonton Oilers58217822198:19464
    7Anaheim Ducks561812323185:19563
    8Seattle Kraken57216921163:16963
    9Los Angeles Kings561491419146:16160
    10Nashville Predators57197724169:19859
    11San Jose Sharks551611424171:19358
    12Chicago Blackhawks57175926154:18553
    13Winnipeg Jets56202826160:17552
    14Calgary Flames56194627142:16952
    15St. Louis Blues57191928147:20349
    16Vancouver Canucks57126633149:21042


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Tampa Bay Lightning56299414203:14280
    2Carolina Hurricanes572610615197:16378
    3Montreal Canadiens572111817199:18772
    4Detroit Red Wings582310619174:17572
    5Buffalo Sabres58276619197:17772
    6Pittsburgh Penguins562541215192:16970
    7Boston Bruins57248520195:18269
    8New York Islanders582210521169:16269
    9Washington Capitals60255723192:17867
    10Columbus Blue Jackets56209720179:17765
    11Ottawa Senators57226722191:18463
    12Toronto Maple Leafs58198922190:19863
    13Florida Panthers57236325174:19161
    14Philadelphia Flyers571871121168:18361
    15New Jersey Devils581810228147:17758
    16New York Rangers57148629151:18050

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy