Result
3:2
26/10/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Santos C. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (188/245) | 80% (193/240) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (188/245) | 80% (193/240) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (11/31) | 48% (27/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (46/74) | 67% (54/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 50% (2/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 2.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.53 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 24', 0 - 1, Mena Y. ⚽, Guevara B. (A),
- 43', 0 - 2, Mena Y. ⚽, Lliuya M. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Villamarin R. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
- 46', Rugel L. ↓, Lujan J. ↑,
- 46', Palacios B. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
- 53', Guevara B. 🟨,
- 58', Oncoy F. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
- 64', Canela Torres J. J. ↓, Campodonico R. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Quintero J. (Pen),
- 75', Ibarguen Y. ↓, Cantt J. ↑,
- 78', Guevara B. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
- 79', Aubert E. ↓, Sernaque J. ↑,
- 84', Perleche A. 🟨,
- 85', Fuentes P. 🟨,
- 87', Lliuya M. 🟨,
- 87', 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Quintero J. (Pen),
- 90+5', Lliuya M. ↓, Iraola G. ↑,
- 90+6', Escobar J. ↓, Ampuero A. ↑,
- 90+7', 3 - 2, Vega J. ⚽, Ramirez E. (A),
- 90+9', Lujan J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cajamarca
43.1% | Draw
28.1% | Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (-3%)
Cajamarca - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(2.02) |
3.34 ↓
(3.35) |
3.28 ↓
(3.44) |
7.1%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 3.
- Cajamarca has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Alianza Universidad is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Alianza Universidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cajamarca will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
Cajamarca has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Universidad de Huánuco won against Cajamarca?
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco were as follows:
20.06.2025
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
-
Cajamarca
1:2
Latest results of Cajamarca
Latest results of Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Cienciano | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Cusco | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Grau | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
