Result
 
                    2:6
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        30/08/2025 at  07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Virsliga - Round 28
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 | 
 World | Onefootball | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.50 | 3.29 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 30% | 70% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 32 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 11 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 11 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 66% (158/240) | 84% (476/567) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.50 | 3.29 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.21 | 4.04 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 32 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 11 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 11 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 3 | 10 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 23 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 9 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 11 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 10 | 69 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 66% (158/240) | 84% (476/567) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 18% (9/50) | 60% (35/58) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 55% (32/58) | 75% (167/223) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 38% (12/32) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.71 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 19 | 28 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 5 | 5 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 73% (8/11) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 32 | 53 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 49 | 15 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 6 | 6 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 5 | 1 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 4.04 | 1.21 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -1.96 | -0.79 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
 - 20', 0 - 1, Regza M. ⚽, Birka E. (A), 
 - 28', 1 - 1, Skadmanis K. ⚽, Maslovs R. (A), 
 - 29', 1 - 2, Regza M. ⚽, 
 - 45', 1 - 3, Cernomordijs A. ⚽, Ngom M. (A), 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 3)
 - 46', Maslovs R. ↓, Tihonovics M. ↑, 
 - 53', 1 - 4, Birka E. ⚽, Varslavans R. (A), 
 - 61', Diop M. ↓, Grimaldo J. ↑, 
 - 61', Mankenda G. ↓, Pena B. ↑, 
 - 62', Regza M. ↓, Reginaldo Ramires ↑, 
 - 67', Nakamura R. ↓, Sitjakovs R. ↑, 
 - 68', Vejkrigers D. ↓, Marchuk A. ↑, 
 - 68', Deklavs A. ↓, Zengis R. ↑, 
 - 68', Sula D. ↓, Sprukts E. ↑, 
 - 72', Galo O. ↓, Iago Siqueira ↑, 
 - 72', 2 - 4, Marchuk A. ⚽, 
 - 84', Jurkovskis R. ↓, Muzinga N. ↑, 
 - 89', 2 - 5, Contreras A. ⚽, Ngom M. (A), 
 - 90+1', Zengis R. 🟨, 
 - 90+2', 2 - 6, Ngom M. ⚽, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Super Nova  6.8% | Draw  13.4% | Riga  79.9% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Super Nova - Riga Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   13.62 ↑ (12.12) | 
			   6.9 ↑ (6.6) | 
			   1.15 ↓ (1.17) | 
			   8.5% (8.9%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 0.
 - Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
 - Super Nova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  - In this match, Riga is the clear favorite.
 - In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 6:43. (average 0.5:3.3).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:30. (average 0.6:4.3).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against Riga?
                    
                    
                        
                            Super Nova has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Riga won against Super Nova?
                    
                    
                        
                             Riga has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Super Nova - Riga were as follows:
                                                        
                                22.06.2025 
                                Riga 
                                - 
                                Super Nova 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                01.05.2025 
                                Super Nova 
                                - 
                                Riga 
                                1:5
                            
        
                                                        
                                06.03.2025 
                                Riga 
                                - 
                                Super Nova 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                29.10.2023 
                                Riga 
                                - 
                                Super Nova 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                06.08.2023 
                                Super Nova 
                                - 
                                Riga 
                                1:5
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Super Nova                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Riga FC ✔  | 35 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 82:22 | 60 | 88 | 
| 2 | RFS ✔  | 35 | 27 | 3 | 5 | 96:36 | 60 | 84 | 
| 3 | FK Liepaja ✔  | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 59:52 | 7 | 61 | 
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 51:59 | -8 | 48 | 
| 5 | Auda ✔  | 35 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 42:47 | -5 | 44 | 
| 6 | Jelgava | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 38:45 | -7 | 37 | 
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 38:62 | -24 | 35 | 
| 8 | Grobina | 35 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 31:62 | -31 | 31 | 
| 9 | Super Nova | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 29 | 
| 10 | Metta | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 36:73 | -37 | 28 | 
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Virsliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Riga FC is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
RFS is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
FK Liepaja is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
Auda is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )