Paderborn vs Darmstadt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
2:2
19/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 17
  • Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.471.13
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
85% (487/574)77% (240/313)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.471.13
xG on target (xGOT)
2.320.43
Total shots
199
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
138
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
5317
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
914
Passes
85% (487/574)77% (240/313)
Long passes
57% (26/46)38% (24/63)
Passes in final third
74% (143/192)53% (43/81)
Crosses
32% (9/28)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
3.100.72
Throw-ins
2012
Fouls
149
Tackles
70% (7/10)82% (9/11)
Duels won
4545
Clearances
1642
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.432.32
Goals prevented
-1.570.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Richter M. ⚽, Lidberg I. (A),
  • 37', 0 - 2, Corredor K. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Copado L. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
  • 54', 1 - 2, Baur M. ⚽, Curda L. (A),
  • 57', Kettemann R. 🟨,
  • 58', Akiyama H. 🟨,
  • 62', Corredor K. ↓, Hornby F. ↑,
  • 62', Akiyama H. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
  • 73', Holland F. ↓, Nurnberger F. ↑,
  • 73', Richter M. ↓, Bader M. ↑,
  • 73', Hansen M. ↓, Muller R. ↑,
  • 79', Michel S. 🟨,
  • 84', 2 - 2, Klaas S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 86', Klaas S. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
  • 86', Michel S. ↓, Bilbija F. ↑,
  • 90', Lidberg I. ↓, Vukotic A. ↑,
  • 90+2', Baur M. ↓, Castaneda S. ↑,

Chances of winning


Paderborn
44.1%		Draw
26.6%		Darmstadt
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 26.1% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 26.4% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-2%)
    •

    Paderborn - Darmstadt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.14 ↑
    (2.01)    		 3.52 ↓
    (3.56)    		 3.19 ↓
    (3.35)    		 6.5%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Paderborn - Darmstadt?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 13 - 40.6%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 40.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 23.6% – 57.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 2 - 40%). Darmstadt (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Darmstadt (1.74) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Darmstadt (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Darmstadt (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Darmstadt (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Darmstadt (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2.
    • In recent matches, Paderborn has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Darmstadt is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Paderborn is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Darmstadt: Hornby F. (Thigh Injury) Richter M. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 2.2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Darmstadt were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Darmstadt - Paderborn 0:1
    11.08.2024 Paderborn - Darmstadt 3:1
    09.04.2023 Darmstadt - Paderborn 2:1
    30.09.2022 Paderborn - Darmstadt 1:2
    Latest results of Paderborn
    13.12.2025 Karlsruher - Paderborn 0:4 ✺
    06.12.2025 Paderborn - Elversberg 1:2 ✺
    28.11.2025 Schalke 04 - Paderborn 2:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Paderborn - Hannover 0:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 Magdeburg - Paderborn 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Darmstadt
    14.12.2025 Darmstadt - Preußen Münster 1:0 ✺
    06.12.2025 Darmstadt - Karlsruher 3:2 ✺
    03.12.2025 Freiburg - Darmstadt 2:0 ✺
    30.11.2025 Elversberg - Darmstadt 0:0 ✺
    22.11.2025 Darmstadt - Greuther Fürth 4:2 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke24145534:211347
    2Paderborn24144640:271346
    3Darmstadt24129345:281745
    4Elversberg24136543:261745
    5Hannover24136542:301245
    6Kaiserslautern24114940:35537
    7Hertha Berlin24107734:29537
    8Karlsruher SC2496937:44-733
    9Nurnberg24861031:34-330
    10Bochum2478932:30229
    11Dusseldorf24841223:34-1128
    12Arminia Bielefeld24761136:33327
    13Preussen Munster24681029:36-726
    14SG Dynamo Dresden24671135:41-625
    15Holstein Kiel24671129:35-625
    16Braunschweig24741327:42-1525
    17Magdeburg24721535:47-1223
    18Greuther Furth24651335:55-2023

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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