Nairobi United vs Gor Mahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
21/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Ebenezer A. B. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Nairobi United
21.7%
Draw
31.8%
Gor Mahia
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.8% 30.9% 49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3% 30.1% 50.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nairobi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Gor Mahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nairobi United than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Nairobi United - Gor Mahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.16
    (4.6)
    2.83
    (2.95)
    1.94
    (1.85)
    10.8%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • Recent form of Nairobi United has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Gor Mahia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Gor Mahia has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Gor Mahia is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nairobi United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nairobi United - Gor Mahia were as follows:
    29.06.2025 Gor Mahia - Nairobi United 1:2
    Latest results of Nairobi United
    Latest results of Gor Mahia
    12.12.2025 Bandari - Gor Mahia 1:1
    07.12.2025 Gor Mahia - AFC Leopards 0:1
    25.11.2025 Gor Mahia - APS Bomet 1:4
    22.11.2025 Gor Mahia - Tusker 1:0
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia25175344:182656
    2Leopards25147433:181549
    3Police FC251010522:17540
    4Shabana25117730:27340
    5Kakamega Homeboyz24109535:26939
    6Muranga25108733:27638
    7Tusker251141023:25-237
    8Bandari25713520:18234
    9KCB2597925:27-234
    10Nairobi United2396828:24433
    11Posta Rangers25710823:29-631
    12Mara Sugar24612623:23030
    13Mathare Utd25861122:24-230
    14Kariobangi Sharks255101018:28-1025
    15Ulinzi Stars25571322:30-822
    16Bidco United254101116:28-1222
    17APS Bomet25491224:33-921
    18Sofapaka25361615:34-1915

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Super League