Result
2:2
26/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 34
- Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (368/436) | 80% (244/304) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 2.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (368/436) | 80% (244/304) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (21/50) | 33% (14/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (80/126) | 62% (50/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.46 | 2.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 26', Fabricio Daniel 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Tiago Pagnussat ⚽, Dodo (A),
- 43', 2 - 0, Andre Luis ⚽,
- 45+1', 2 - 1, Juninho ⚽, Fabricio Daniel (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
- 52', Thalys 🟨,
- 61', Bruno Mendes ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,
- 61', Dodo ↓, Jean Mota ↑,
- 65', Alencar ↓, Albano ↑,
- 66', 2 - 2, Carlao (Pen),
- 69', Andre Luis ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
- 72', Elias 🟨,
- 73', Juninho ↓, Vitor Barreto ↑,
- 75', Junior Todinho ↓, Gustavo Paje ↑,
- 76', Thalys ↓, Weverton ↑,
- 80', Weverton 🟨,
- 86', Ze Mario ↓, Eric Melo ↑,
- 86', Netinho ↓, Tarik ↑,
- 90+2', Ricardinho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova
51.5% | Draw
28.2% | Ferroviária
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Vila Nova - Ferroviária Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.71) |
3.33 ↓
(3.42) |
4.67 ↓
(4.82) |
6.8%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Ferroviária?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 15).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Vila Nova is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Arilson
(Inactive)
Miticov
(Inactive)
Willian Formiga
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Denilson
(Knee Injury)
Gustavo Jundi
(Injury)
Ian Luccas
(Inactive)
Thayllon
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Andre Luis
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Edson Lucas
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vila Nova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Ferroviária?
Vila Nova has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Vila Nova?
Ferroviária has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Ferroviária were as follows:
06.07.2025
Ferroviária
-
Vila Nova
1:3
Latest results of Vila Nova
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Avai | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Botafogo SP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Nautico | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Ceara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Vila Nova FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Londrina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Criciuma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | CRB | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Novorizontino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Cuiaba | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Ponte Preta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | America MG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Juventude | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Atletico GO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
