Result
1:0
06/11/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 32
- Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Flow Eventos |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 North-central-america | Flow Sports 1 Caribbean |
 Paraguay | Flow Eventos |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Uruguay | Flow |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (282/339) | 85% (384/451) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (282/339) | 85% (384/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (31/49) | 63% (35/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (98/117) | 68% (61/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', Daniel Borges 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Serna K. ⚽, Acosta L. (A),
- 45', Acosta L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Daniel Borges ↓, Lucas Ramon ↑,
- 46', Yago Felipe ↓, Gabriel ↑,
- 63', Martinelli 🟨,
- 64', Danielzinho ↓, Guilherme ↑,
- 64', Negueba ↓, Alesson ↑,
- 64', Rene 🟨,
- 72', Lucas Ramon 🟨,
- 77', Neto Moura ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 78', Martinelli ↓, Bernal F. ↑,
- 79', Everaldo ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
- 86', Acosta L. ↓, Nonato ↑,
- 86', Serna K. ↓, Keno ↑,
- 90+1', Keno 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
50.4% | Draw
28.5% | Mirassol
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Fluminense - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(1.93) |
3.36 ↑
(3.29) |
4.45 ↑
(4.12) |
4.8%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Mirassol?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- EH -1 - Mirassol (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Mirassol (3.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Mirassol (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Mirassol (3.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.25 - Mirassol (2.38) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Mirassol (2.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.75 - Mirassol (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Mirassol (1.50) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.25 - Fluminense (2.97) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.75 - Mirassol (5.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Mirassol (3.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Mirassol (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fluminense will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Mirassol (votes: 20 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In recent matches, Fluminense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mirassol is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Mirassol has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Fluminense is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Ignacio
(Red Card)
Manoel
(Inactive)
PH Ganso
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Mirassol: Da Silva
(Injury)
Edson Carioca
(Muscle Injury)
PH
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Lucas Ramon
(Inactive)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fluminense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Mirassol?
Fluminense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Fluminense?
Mirassol has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Mirassol were as follows:
08.10.2025
Mirassol
-
Fluminense
2:1
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Bahia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Gremio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Vasco | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Internacional | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Santos | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Chapecoense-SC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | Remo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
