Mirassol vs Fluminense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Mirassol - Fluminense
Result
2:1
08/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 13

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.230.77
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
79% (254/320)81% (340/418)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.230.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.490.56
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1616
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
79% (254/320)81% (340/418)
Long passes
42% (18/43)50% (22/44)
Passes in final third
66% (56/85)71% (72/102)
Crosses
25% (5/20)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.48
Throw-ins
2215
Fouls
1313
Tackles
69% (9/13)59% (10/17)
Duels won
4445
Clearances
1527
Interceptions
154
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.561.49
Goals prevented
-0.44-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Guilherme 🟨,
  • 23', Walter 🟨,
  • 27', Martinelli 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Guilherme , Alesson (A),
  • 41', Freytes J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Keno , Soteldo Y. ,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Martinelli , Freytes J. (A),
  • 62', John Kennedy , Cano G. ,
  • 65', Cristian Renato , Renato Marques ,
  • 65', Guilherme , Negueba ,
  • 69', Canobbio A. 🟨,
  • 72', Acosta L. , Lima ,
  • 73', Canobbio A. , Moreno S. ,
  • 77', Alesson , Carlos Eduardo ,
  • 83', Neto Moura 🟨,
  • 84', Hercules , Bernal F. ,
  • 85', Neto Moura , Roni ,
  • 85', Gabriel , Shaylon ,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Negueba , Carlos Eduardo (A),
  • 89', Moreno S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mirassol
34.7%
Draw
31.5%
Fluminense
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.7% 30.6% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Mirassol have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Mirassol - Fluminense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.73)
    3.04
    (3.1)
    2.86
    (2.74)
    4.5%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mirassol - Fluminense?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 12 - 40%). Fluminense will win (votes: 6 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 22.5%57.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fluminense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ))
    • Fluminense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: David Braz (Injury) Leo Gamalho (Injury) Matheus Sales (Injury) Rafa Silva (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Fluminense: Otavio (Achilles Tendon Injury) Riquelme Felipe (Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Mirassol
    04.10.2025 Corinthians - Mirassol 3:0
    21.09.2025 Mirassol - Juventude 2:0
    17.09.2025 Botafogo RJ - Mirassol 3:3
    Latest results of Fluminense
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ28187356:154161
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol291410550:302052
    5Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    6Bahia28137839:32746
    7Fluminense271251035:33241
    8Sao Paulo291081131:33-238
    9Vasco281061244:41336
    10Bragantino281061234:43-936
    11Corinthians29991131:35-436
    12Gremio29991130:37-736
    13Ceara28981127:27035
    14Internacional28981135:41-635
    15Atletico-MG28891126:32-633
    16Santos27871228:39-1131
    17Vitoria286101226:43-1728
    18Fortaleza28661626:44-1824
    19Juventude28651722:53-3123
    20Sport Recife282111521:44-2317

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet