Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (347/417) | 86% (474/549) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (347/417) | 86% (474/549) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (22/47) | 50% (31/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (77/122) | 69% (70/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (16/18) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', Valakari O. 🟨,
- 8', 0 - 1, Dreyer A. ⚽, Lozano H. (A), Bombino L. (A2)
- 30', Pineda M. 🟨,
- 45+3', 0 - 2, Dreyer A. ⚽, Lozano H. (A), Bombino L. (A2)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', McNair P. ↓, Pilcher I. ↑,
- 46', Oregel S. ↓, Kouame R. ↑,
- 58', Lozano H. ↓, Mighten A. ↑,
- 66', Barroso L. ↓, Dean J. ↑,
- 71', Pineda M. ↓, D'Avilla D. ↑,
- 72', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Haile-Selassie M. ↑,
- 81', Angel T. ↓, Boateng E. ↑,
- 82', Boateng E. 🟨,
- 86', Rogers S. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 2, Cuypers H. ⚽, Haile-Selassie M. (A),
- 90+1', Bombino L. ↓, Negri F. ↑,
- 90+6', Gutierrez B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chicago Fire
37.1% | Draw
24.6% | San Diego
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Chicago Fire - San Diego Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.54) |
3.83 ↑
(3.68) |
2.47 ↓
(2.63) |
5.7%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - San Diego?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). San Diego will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 29.2% – 76.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago (votes: 2 - 40%). San Diego (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - San Diego (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago (votes: 2 - 33.3%). San Diego (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Chicago is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- San Diego is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Chicago: Acosta K.
(Injury)
Cupps C.
(Leg Injury)
Mueller C.
(Personal Reasons)
Poreba D.
(Knee Injury)
Teran C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A.
(Injury)
Diop H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Ingvartsen M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Kumado W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Reyes A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Chicago: Kouame R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Reynolds J.
(Injury)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire won against San Diego?
Chicago Fire has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego won against Chicago Fire?
San Diego has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire - San Diego were as follows:
Latest results of Chicago Fire
Latest results of San Diego
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 | 12 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | San Diego FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Minnesota United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | St. Louis City | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New York City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | New York Red Bulls | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 5 | DC United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Toronto FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | New England Revolution | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Atlanta Utd | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Cincinnati | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 | Columbus Crew | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
