Chicago Fire vs San Diego: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Chicago Fire - San Diego
Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
Chicago Fire - San Diego - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.10
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
83% (347/417)86% (474/549)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.371.88
Total shots
187
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
3815
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1117
Passes
83% (347/417)86% (474/549)
Long passes
47% (22/47)50% (31/62)
Passes in final third
63% (77/122)69% (70/102)
Crosses
30% (3/10)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.361.25
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
1711
Tackles
89% (16/18)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4137
Clearances
1111
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.881.37
Goals prevented
-0.120.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 2', Valakari O. 🟨,
  • 8', 0 - 1, Dreyer A. , Lozano H. (A), Bombino L. (A2)
  • 30', Pineda M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 0 - 2, Dreyer A. , Lozano H. (A), Bombino L. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', McNair P. , Pilcher I. ,
  • 46', Oregel S. , Kouame R. ,
  • 58', Lozano H. , Mighten A. ,
  • 66', Barroso L. , Dean J. ,
  • 71', Pineda M. , D'Avilla D. ,
  • 72', Zinckernagel P. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 81', Angel T. , Boateng E. ,
  • 82', Boateng E. 🟨,
  • 86', Rogers S. , Barlow T. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Cuypers H. , Haile-Selassie M. (A),
  • 90+1', Bombino L. , Negri F. ,
  • 90+6', Gutierrez B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire
37.1%
Draw
24.6%
San Diego
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 26% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 26.7% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Chicago Fire - San Diego Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.54)
    3.83
    (3.68)
    2.47
    (2.63)
    5.7%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - San Diego?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). San Diego will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 29.2%76.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Chicago is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Diego is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Chicago: Acosta K. (Injury) Cupps C. (Leg Injury) Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury) Teran C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Injury) Diop H. (Lower-Body Injury) Ingvartsen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kumado W. (Lower-Body Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Kouame R. (Lower-Body Injury) Reynolds J. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    Latest results of San Diego
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC23133746:311542
    2Vancouver Whitecaps22125538:251341
    3Minnesota United23117539:261340
    4Los Angeles FC20105536:241235
    5Seattle Sounders2297634:31334
    6Portland Timbers2296731:31033
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2378844:39529
    10Real Salt Lake22841024:28-428
    11Houston Dynamo23751129:38-926
    12Sporting Kansas City22651135:41-623
    13FC Dallas22571029:41-1222
    14St. Louis City22461223:35-1218
    15Los Angeles Galaxy23361425:45-2015


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union23144539:221746
    2FC Cincinnati23143638:31745
    3Nashville SC23135541:251644
    4Columbus Crew23118438:32641
    5Inter Miami20115444:331138
    6Orlando City2398641:311035
    7New York City22104829:25434
    8New York Red Bulls2396838:30833
    9Charlotte231021138:37132
    10Chicago Fire2285942:40229
    11New England Revolution2267929:30-125
    12Toronto FC22561125:29-421
    13Atlanta Utd22481025:40-1520
    14DC United23471219:43-2419
    15CF Montreal23361420:43-2315

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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