Jagiellonia Białystok vs Termalica Nieciecza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Jagiellonia Białystok - Termalica Nieciecza
Result
0:4
18/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.762.14
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1318
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
86% (461/537)72% (224/310)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.762.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.263.23
Total shots
1318
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
48
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
3522
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
107
Passes
86% (461/537)72% (224/310)
Long passes
45% (19/42)41% (26/64)
Passes in final third
74% (122/164)64% (61/96)
Crosses
23% (8/35)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.801.12
Throw-ins
1213
Fouls
710
Tackles
80% (16/20)68% (13/19)
Duels won
5353
Clearances
2439
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
3.230.26
Goals prevented
-0.770.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Kubica K. ,
  • 42', 0 - 2, Zapolnik K. (Pen),
  • 45', 0 - 3, Fassbender M. , Ambrosiewicz M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Zapolnik K. , Trubeha A. ,
  • 62', Wdowik B. , Polak C. ,
  • 62', Flach L. , Drachal D. ,
  • 62', Prip L. , Pozo A. ,
  • 63', Imaz J. 🟨,
  • 69', Strzalek I. , Boboc R. ,
  • 69', Hilbrycht D. , Biniek D. ,
  • 70', Pululu A. , Rallis D. ,
  • 75', 0 - 4, Isik G. , Ambrosiewicz M. (A),
  • 76', Pietuszewski O. , Cantero A. ,
  • 87', Fassbender M. , Jakubik W. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jagiellonia Białystok
57.9%
Draw
23.3%
Termalica Nieciecza
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.7% 22.2% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Jagiellonia Białystok - Termalica Nieciecza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.56)
    4.01
    (4.18)
    4.97
    (5.14)
    6.4%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Termalica Nieciecza?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 59.8%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jagiellonia Białystok will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 3.
    • Recent form of Jagiellonia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Termalica is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Jagiellonia is the team to beat.
    • There are questionable in Termalica: Jakubik W. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 0.8:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 0.8:0.2).
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Radomiak Radom11005:143
    2Termalica B-B11004:043
    3Cracovia11004:133
    4Wisla Plock11002:023
    5Gornik Zabrze11002:113
    6Motor Lublin11001:013
    7Widzew Lodz11001:013
    8Rakow11001:013
    9Piast Gliwice00000:000
    10Legia00000:000
    11Arka Gdynia10010:1-10
    12GKS Katowice10010:1-10
    13Zaglebie10010:1-10
    14Korona Kielce10010:2-20
    15Lech Poznan10011:4-30
    16Pogon Szczecin10011:5-40
    17Jagiellonia10010:4-40
    18Lechia Gdansk10011:2-1-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1