GKS Katowice vs Termalica Nieciecza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
03/05/2026 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 31
  • Referee: Malec P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.741.36
Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
71
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
39
Passes
76% (225/298)78% (304/389)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.741.36
xG on target (xGOT)
2.920.65
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
47
Blocked shots
19
Shots inside the box
912
Shots outside the box
35
Hit the woodwork
21
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
1834
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
11
Free kicks
910
Passes
76% (225/298)78% (304/389)
Long passes
40% (20/50)47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
60% (42/70)62% (75/121)
Crosses
44% (4/9)21% (6/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.911.33
Throw ins
1115
Fouls
109
Tackles
56% (5/9)50% (5/10)
Duels won
3540
Clearances
4119
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
03
xGOT faced
0.652.92
Goals prevented
-0.35-1.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Kasperkiewicz A. (Own goal),
  • 22', 2 - 0, Shkurin I. ,
  • 31', 3 - 0, Markovic E. , Shkurin I. (A),
  • 31', Isik G. 🟨,
  • 42', 3 - 1, Zapolnik K. , Strzalek I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Masoero L. , Putivtsev A. ,
  • 58', Strzalek I. , Guerrero S. ,
  • 58', Fassbender M. , Kurzawa R. ,
  • 58', 4 - 1, Kowalczyk M. , Markovic E. (A),
  • 66', Kowalczyk M. , Rasak D. ,
  • 66', Jirka E. , Wdowiak M. ,
  • 67', Jimenez J. , Durdov I. ,
  • 76', Markovic E. , Wedrychowski M. ,
  • 76', Shkurin I. , Kokosinski J. ,
  • 81', Milewski S. , Blad A. ,
  • 84', Ambrosiewicz M. , Trubeha A. ,
  • 90', 5 - 1, ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


GKS Katowice
58.3%
Draw
21.6%
Termalica Nieciecza
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 23.2% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8% 22.3% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • GKS Katowice - Termalica Nieciecza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.62)
    4.35
    (3.81)
    4.61
    (4)
    6.6%
    (13%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for GKS Katowice - Termalica Nieciecza?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. GKS Katowice will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for GKS Katowice: 35.9%97.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • GKS Katowice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, GKS Katowice is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in GKS Katowice: Bosch J. (Pelvis Injury) Kowalczyk M. (Injury) Rejczyk F. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Termalica: Kopacz B. (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, GKS Katowice won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between GKS Katowice - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:
    31.10.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice 0:3
    24.09.2024 Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice 1:2
    21.04.2024 Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice 2:2
    08.10.2023 GKS Katowice - Termalica Nieciecza 0:0
    12.02.2023 Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice 1:1
    Latest results of GKS Katowice
    Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan311510656:411555
    2Gornik Zabrze30147943:34949
    3GKS Katowice311451248:42647
    4Jagiellonia301210848:371146
    5Rakow301371043:37646
    6Zaglebie311291043:36745
    7Wisla Plock311291032:31145
    8Pogon Szczecin311251443:45-241
    9Piast Gliwice311171340:41-140
    10Legia31913935:36-140
    11Radomiak Radom3010101046:43340
    12Korona Kielce311091238:37139
    13Cracovia319121035:38-339
    14Motor Lublin319121039:46-739
    15Lechia Gdansk301271157:54338
    16Widzew Lodz311061536:38-236
    17Arka Gdynia30971431:54-2334
    18Termalica B-B31771737:60-2328

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1