Result
5:1
03/05/2026 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 31
- Referee: Malec P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Poland | CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (225/298) | 78% (304/389) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.92 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (225/298) | 78% (304/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (20/50) | 47% (24/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (42/70) | 62% (75/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 21% (6/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 2.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | -1.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Kasperkiewicz A. (Own goal),
- 22', 2 - 0, Shkurin I. ⚽,
- 31', 3 - 0, Markovic E. ⚽, Shkurin I. (A),
- 31', Isik G. 🟨,
- 42', 3 - 1, Zapolnik K. ⚽, Strzalek I. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Masoero L. ↓, Putivtsev A. ↑,
- 58', Strzalek I. ↓, Guerrero S. ↑,
- 58', Fassbender M. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
- 58', 4 - 1, Kowalczyk M. ⚽, Markovic E. (A),
- 66', Kowalczyk M. ↓, Rasak D. ↑,
- 66', Jirka E. ↓, Wdowiak M. ↑,
- 67', Jimenez J. ↓, Durdov I. ↑,
- 76', Markovic E. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
- 76', Shkurin I. ↓, Kokosinski J. ↑,
- 81', Milewski S. ↓, Blad A. ↑,
- 84', Ambrosiewicz M. ↓, Trubeha A. ↑,
- 90', 5 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
GKS Katowice 58.3% | Draw 21.6% | Termalica Nieciecza 20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
GKS Katowice - Termalica Nieciecza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 (1.62) |
4.35 ↑ (3.81) |
4.61 ↑ (4) |
6.6% (13%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for GKS Katowice - Termalica Nieciecza?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. GKS Katowice will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GKS Katowice: 35.9% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- GKS Katowice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, GKS Katowice is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in GKS Katowice: Bosch J.
(Pelvis Injury)
Kowalczyk M.
(Injury)
Rejczyk F.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Termalica: Kopacz B.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, GKS Katowice won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has GKS Katowice won against Termalica Nieciecza?
GKS Katowice has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against GKS Katowice?
Termalica Nieciecza has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between GKS Katowice - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:
31.10.2025
Termalica Nieciecza
-
GKS Katowice
0:3
24.09.2024
Termalica Nieciecza
-
GKS Katowice
1:2
21.04.2024
Termalica Nieciecza
-
GKS Katowice
2:2
08.10.2023
GKS Katowice
-
Termalica Nieciecza
0:0
12.02.2023
Termalica Nieciecza
-
GKS Katowice
1:1
Latest results of GKS Katowice
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 56:41 | 15 | 55 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | GKS Katowice | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 48:42 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 5 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Zaglebie | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 43:45 | -2 | 41 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 40:41 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | Legia | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Radomiak Radom | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 40 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 39 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Lechia Gdansk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 57:54 | 3 | 38 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 37:60 | -23 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1