Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (200/306) | 69% (240/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (200/306) | 69% (240/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (34/87) | 46% (40/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (69/116) | 52% (64/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 38 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Messer N. 🟨,
- 25', Ramos O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Lopez M. 🟨,
- 59', Washington T. 🟨,
- 66', Wada M. ↓, James N. ↑,
- 66', Kamara J. ↓, Varela W. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 0, Messer N. ⚽, Wright O. (A),
- 76', Jordan J. ↓, Jawneh L. ↑,
- 76', Poon-Angeron M. 🟨,
- 81', Perkins W. 🟨,
- 83', Poon-Angeron M. ↓, Langlois P. ↑,
- 83', Wright O. ↓, Keegan J. ↑,
- 85', Mason D. ↓, Staszewski P. ↑,
- 90+2', Washington T. ↓, Kvifte N. H. ↑,
- 90+2', Ramos O. ↓, Padilla B. ↑,
- 90+3', Morse H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Portland Hearts of Pine
60.3% | Draw
21.9% | Texoma
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Hearts of Pine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Texoma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texoma than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Portland Hearts of Pine - Texoma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.61) |
4.21 ↑
(3.9) |
5.17 ↑
(4.41) |
8.5%
(10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 11).
- Hearts of Pine has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Texoma's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Texoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Texoma has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Hearts of Pine is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Hearts of Pine will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hearts of Pine won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Portland Hearts of Pine won against Texoma?
Portland Hearts of Pine has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Texoma won against Portland Hearts of Pine?
Texoma has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Hearts of Pine - Texoma were as follows:
12.07.2025
Texoma
-
Portland Hearts of Pine
0:1
Latest results of Portland Hearts of Pine
USL League One Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chattanooga Red Wolves ✔ | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 37:26 | 11 | 49 |
| 2 | One Knoxville ✔ | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 37:24 | 13 | 48 |
| 3 | Spokane Velocity ✔ | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 46 |
| 4 | FC Naples ✔ | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 5 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 37:30 | 7 | 40 |
| 6 | Union Omaha | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 38 |
| 7 | Tormenta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 47:45 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Charlotte Independ | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Forward Madison | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 32 |
| 10 | AV Alta | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 36:42 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Greenville | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 37:38 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Texoma | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:50 | -17 | 27 |
| 13 | Richmond Kickers | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 38:49 | -11 | 26 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 38:55 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Chattanooga Red Wolves is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
One Knoxville is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
Spokane Velocity is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
FC Naples is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
