St. Pauli vs Heidenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
2:1
13/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 14
  • Referee: Storks S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 9
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 3 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.812.15
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
820
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
411
Passes
72% (249/345)84% (496/592)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.812.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.022.42
Total shots
820
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
714
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
411
Touches in opposition box
1844
Accurate through passes
31
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
156
Passes
72% (249/345)84% (496/592)
Long passes
33% (26/78)51% (25/49)
Passes in final third
63% (85/135)72% (118/165)
Crosses
21% (3/14)29% (12/41)
Expected assists (xA)
1.771.69
Throw-ins
1417
Fouls
615
Tackles
100% (3/3)78% (7/9)
Duels won
3852
Clearances
5123
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
2.421.02
Goals prevented
1.42-0.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Sands J. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Kaars M. ⚽, Fujita J. (A),
  • 42', Schoppner J. 🟨,
  • 45', Smith E. 🟥,
  • 45+3', Blessin A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Dzwigala A. ↑,
  • 46', Schoppner J. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
  • 46', Keller T. ↓, Traore O. H. ↑,
  • 53', 2 - 0, Kaars M. ⚽, Fujita J. (A),
  • 64', 2 - 1, Pieringer M. ⚽, Schimmer S. (A),
  • 64', Siersleben T. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
  • 64', Beck A. ↓, Kaufmann M. ↑,
  • 69', Pyrka A. 🟨,
  • 73', Kaufmann M. 🟨,
  • 76', Kaars M. ↓, Jones R.J. ↑,
  • 78', Niehues J. ↓, Dorsch N. ↑,
  • 87', Pieringer M. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Jones R.J. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,

Chances of winning


St. Pauli
51.7%		Draw
27.1%		Heidenheim
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 26.5% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 26.1% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
    •

    St. Pauli - Heidenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.85
    (1.85)    		 3.53 ↓
    (3.58)    		 4.52 ↑
    (4.29)    		 4.6%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Heidenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 32.4% – 71.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Heidenheim (3.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Heidenheim (4.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 3.
    • Recent form of St. Pauli has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Heidenheim has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Heidenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, St. Pauli has had a series of away games.
    • St. Pauli is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Feller F. (Knee Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Pauli: Hountondji A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heidenheim: Zivzivadze B. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Heidenheim were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Heidenheim - St. Pauli 0:2
    25.08.2024 St. Pauli - Heidenheim 0:2
    08.04.2023 Heidenheim - St. Pauli 0:1
    01.10.2022 St. Pauli - Heidenheim 0:0
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    06.12.2025 Köln - St. Pauli 1:1 ✺
    02.12.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli 1:2 ✺
    29.11.2025 Bayern Munich - St. Pauli 3:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 St. Pauli - Union Berlin 0:1 ✺
    09.11.2025 Freiburg - St. Pauli 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    06.12.2025 Heidenheim - Freiburg 2:1 ✺
    29.11.2025 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 1:2 ✺
    22.11.2025 Heidenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:3 ✺
    08.11.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Heidenheim 6:0 ✺
    01.11.2025 Heidenheim - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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