Paris Saint-Germain vs Nice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
1:0
01/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 11
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Variety 4
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4, Arena Sport 5
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+, Sky Sport 253
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 4
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.48
Ball Possession
76%24%
Total shots
285
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
94% (760/808)73% (183/249)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.48
xG on target (xGOT)
0.740.87
Total shots
285
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
90
Blocked Shots
113
Shots inside the Box
163
Shots outside the Box
122
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
664
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
512
Passes
94% (760/808)73% (183/249)
Long passes
79% (38/48)55% (24/44)
Passes in final third
90% (355/393)52% (17/33)
Crosses
39% (13/33)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
3.260.02
Throw-ins
2711
Fouls
125
Tackles
62% (8/13)53% (10/19)
Duels won
3453
Clearances
234
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.870.74
Goals prevented
0.87-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Bah J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Jansson I. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
  • 63', Zabarnyi I. 🟨,
  • 65', Neves J. ↓, Ruiz F. ↑,
  • 66', Barcola B. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
  • 71', Sanson M. ↓, Vanhoutte C. ↑,
  • 72', Diop S. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
  • 72', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
  • 72', Mayulu S. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
  • 78', Kvaratskhelia K. 🟨,
  • 84', Louchet T. ↓, Abdul Samed S. ↑,
  • 87', Lee Kang-In 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Ramos G. ⚽, Kvaratskhelia K. (A),

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
80.2%		Draw
12.7%		Nice
7.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.6% 15.8% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6% 15.6% 12.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris Saint-Germain's performance.
  • Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paris Saint-Germain that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Paris Saint-Germain - Nice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.21 ↓
    (1.33)    		 7.48 ↑
    (6.03)    		 13.28 ↑
    (7.6)    		 3.7%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Nice?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 15 - 93.8%). Nice will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 82% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Nice (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 1 - 50%). Nice (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 2.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • PSG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, PSG has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, PSG is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in PSG: Doue D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Cho M. (Injury) Dante (Knee Injury) Moffi T. (Calf Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in PSG: Dembele O. (Muscle Injury) Lee Kang-In (Illness) Ruiz F. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nice: Clauss J. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSG won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:21. (average 1.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.5:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Nice were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Nice 1:3
    06.10.2024 Nice - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1
    15.05.2024 Nice - Paris Saint-Germain 1:2
    13.03.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Nice 3:1
    15.09.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Nice 2:3
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    29.10.2025 Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1 ✺
    25.10.2025 Brest - Paris Saint-Germain 0:3 ✺
    21.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Paris Saint-Germain 2:7 ✺
    17.10.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg 3:3 ✺
    05.10.2025 Lille - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Nice
    29.10.2025 Nice - Lille 2:0 ✺
    26.10.2025 Rennes - Nice 1:2 ✺
    23.10.2025 Celta de Vigo - Nice 2:1 ✺
    18.10.2025 Nice - Lyon 3:2 ✺
    05.10.2025 Monaco - Nice 2:2 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG24183353:193457
    2Lens24172545:212453
    3Lyon24143739:261345
    4Marseille24134751:331843
    5Lille24124837:31640
    6Rennes24117638:35340
    7Monaco24114940:36437
    8Strasbourg24105940:31935
    9Brest2496932:34-233
    10Lorient2489734:38-433
    11Toulouse2487933:28531
    12Angers24851122:30-829
    13Le Havre24681020:30-1026
    14Paris FC24681028:40-1226
    15Nice24661230:44-1424
    16Auxerre24461419:35-1618
    17Nantes24451522:41-1917
    18Metz24341722:53-3113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
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