Result
1:2
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 17
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Spain | #Vamos |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (430/503) | 78% (226/290) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (430/503) | 78% (226/290) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (27/48) | 50% (26/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (125/169) | 55% (35/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (5/38) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.50 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Kaio Jorge ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, Galeano A. ⚽, Lourenco (A),
- 44', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Wanderson ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 56', Pedro Henrique ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
- 58', Eduardo ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 60', 1 - 2, Galeano A. ⚽, Fernandinho (A),
- 73', Kaiki ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 76', Lourenco ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
- 83', Lucas Silva ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
- 83', Diego ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
- 83', Galeano A. ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
- 84', Richardson ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
69% | Draw
20.9% | Ceará
10% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Cruzeiro - Ceará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4
(1.4) |
4.71 ↑
(4.33) |
10.01 ↑
(8) |
2.6%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Ceará?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 30 - 83.3%). Ceará will win (votes: 3 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 71.1% – 95.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruzeiro will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 13).
- Cruzeiro is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ceará has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Cruzeiro is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Janderson
(Knee Injury)
Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Henrique
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Gabriel Lacerda
(Inactive)
Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Cruzeiro will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Ceará?
Cruzeiro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Cruzeiro?
Ceará has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Ceará were as follows:
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 39:17 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 41:23 | 18 | 42 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 34:17 | 17 | 39 |
| 6 | Bahia | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Gremio | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 28 |
| 13 | Internacional | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
| 14 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
| 16 | Vasco | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 24 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19:45 | -26 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 16:34 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
