Result
2:1
29/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 1
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes, Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (355/411) | 89% (412/463) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (355/411) | 89% (412/463) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (23/36) | 67% (24/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (56/86) | 83% (96/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Coutinho ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
- 32', 1 - 1, Cuesta C. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Moreira N. 🟨,
- 54', 2 - 1, Eduardo ⚽, Alesson (A),
- 63', Eduardo ↓, Everton Galdino ↑,
- 63', Renato Marques ↓, Nathan Fogaca ↑,
- 68', Rojas J. ↓, Andrey Fernandes ↑,
- 68', Moreira N. ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
- 69', Alesson ↓, Galeano A. ↑,
- 69', Neto Moura ↓, Jose Aldo ↑,
- 74', Willian Machado 🟨,
- 74', Lucas Piton ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
- 80', Cauan Barros ↓, GB ↑,
- 82', Nathan Fogaca 🟨,
- 85', Reinaldo ↓, Luiz Otavio ↑,
Chances of winning
Mirassol
50.1% | Draw
28.2% | Vasco da Gama
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mirassol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Mirassol - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.73) |
3.35 ↓
(3.71) |
4.36 ↓
(4.54) |
5.8%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Vasco da Gama?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Vasco will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 48.9% – 92.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Vasco (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mirassol is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Andre Luis
(Inactive)
Edson Carioca
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Vasco: Jair
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Vasco da Gama?
Mirassol has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Mirassol?
Vasco da Gama has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
02.12.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Mirassol
0:2
02.08.2025
Mirassol
-
Vasco da Gama
3:2
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
