Result
2:5
04/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 6
- Referee: Papapetrou A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 3.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (285/343) | 85% (321/376) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 3.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 4.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (285/343) | 85% (321/376) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (29/50) | 49% (24/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (52/86) | 81% (78/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.82 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Comba M. ⚽,
- 21', 1 - 1, Atanasov J. (Pen),
- 25', 1 - 2, Juanpi ⚽,
- 45', Perez F. 🟨,
- 45+2', Hermannsson H. 🟨,
- 45+3', Garate L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Pantelakis E. ↓, Bagalianis P. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 2, Garate L. ⚽, Warda A. (A),
- 56', 2 - 3, Lamprou L. ⚽, Hamulic S. (A),
- 63', Sagal A. ↓, Mourgos S. ↑,
- 69', Lamprou L. ↓, Mygas G. ↑,
- 74', Warda A. 🟨,
- 74', Fortuna N. 🟨,
- 75', 2 - 4, Juanpi ⚽, Fortuna N. (A),
- 77', Atanasov J. 🟨,
- 77', Comba M. 🟨,
- 80', Kovacevic B. ↓, Kossonou A. ↑,
- 82', Martinez D. ↓, Bouzoukis G. ↑,
- 83', Soria C. ↓, Assehnoun J. ↑,
- 86', Tupta L. ↓, Giousis C. ↑,
- 86', Deligiannidis P. ↓, Staikos P. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 5, Joca ⚽, Fortuna N. (A),
- 88', Joca ↓, Zarzana A. ↑,
- 88', Hamulic S. ↓, Makni N. ↑,
Chances of winning
AEL Larissa
33.3% | Draw
32.3% | Volos
34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEL Larissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEL Larissa's form might have worsened.Volos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEL Larissa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volos than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
AEL Larissa - Volos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.25 ↑
(2.37) |
3.13 ↓
(3.23) |
2.84 ↓
(2.98) |
-2.1%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AEL Larissa - Volos?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Larissa will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 76.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 56.3% – 96.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Larissa (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 2.
- In recent matches, Larissa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Volos is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Larissa: Ferigra E.
(Inactive)
Pasas G.
(Red Card)
Sourlis V.
(Inactive)
Venetikidis T.
(Inactive)
Vignato E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Volos: Comba M.
(Yellow Cards)
Kargas G.
(Yellow Cards)
Oscar Pinchi
(Inactive)
Tsokanis A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Larissa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Larissa won against Volos?
AEL Larissa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Volos won against AEL Larissa?
Volos has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEL Larissa - Volos were as follows:
24.09.2022
AEL Larissa
-
Volos
1:0
Latest results of AEL Larissa
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AEK Athens FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | PAOK | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 10 |
| 5 | Aris | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Volos | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Panathinaikos | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Kifisia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | OFI Crete | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 10 | Atromitos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Panserraikos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Panetolikos | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
