Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlético Morelia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
03/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAYM Sports
usaUsaAym Sports

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
48
Corner Kicks
24
Yellow Cards
63
Red Cards
11
Total shots
913
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Gutierrez G. (Own goal),
  • 14', 1 - 1, Samano L. , Venegas J. (A),
  • 19', Vazquez B. 🟨,
  • 21', Cardona U. 🟨,
  • 24', Parra D. 🟨,
  • 27', 2 - 1, Samano L. , Gomez J. (A),
  • 34', Gallegos D. 🟨,
  • 35', Aguilar D. 🟨,
  • 35', 3 - 1, Aguilar D. , Aguilar M. (A),
  • 39', Ochoa Brandon , Palma A. ,
  • 39', Gallegos D. , Martinez J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', 3 - 2, Figueroa B. ,
  • 63', Chavez A. 🟨,
  • 66', Samano L. 🟨,
  • 67', Samano L. 🟥,
  • 73', Aguilar D. , Dominguez I. ,
  • 75', Torres D. , del Campo R. ,
  • 81', Gutierrez G. 🟨,
  • 83', Ballesteros O. , Garcia D. ,
  • 83', Cardona U. , Moreno Villegas J. A. ,
  • 83', Gomez J. , Soto A. ,
  • 84', Figueroa B. , Martinez J. ,
  • 90+2', Cerda J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Galindo J. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Tepatitlán de Morelos
45.4%
Draw
25.8%
Atlético Morelia
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 26.9% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 26.4% 32.3%

Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.08
(2.3)
3.67
(3.44)
3.29
(2.81)
5.7%
(8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tepatitlán (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Tepatitlán could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia were as follows:
    31.01.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia 3:1
    17.08.2024 Atlético Morelia - Tepatitlán de Morelos 2:1
    04.02.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia 2:1
    02.11.2023 Atlético Morelia - Tepatitlán de Morelos 1:0
    02.02.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia 2:0
    Latest results of Atlético Morelia
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Morelia22006:066
    2Atletico La Paz21105:234
    3Tapatio21106:424
    4Tepatitlan de Morelos21102:114
    5Zacatecas Mineros21015:323
    6Venados21016:513
    7Cancun21013:213
    8Irapuato21015:503
    9Leones Negros21015:503
    10Dorados de Sinaloa21013:4-13
    11Tlaxcala21012:4-23
    12Atlante10101:101
    13Alebrijes Oaxaca10010:3-30
    14Jaiba Brava20021:5-40
    15Correcaminos20020:6-60

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)