Result
2:5
24/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 21
- Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 2.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (210/291) | 83% (344/415) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 2.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 3.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 16 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (210/291) | 83% (344/415) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (13/40) | 52% (36/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (64/96) | 64% (59/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.45 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 25', 0 - 1, Adorante A. ⚽, Franjic B. (A),
- 33', 0 - 2, Yeboah J. ⚽, Sagrado R. (A),
- 40', 1 - 2, Marras T. ⚽, Ruocco F. (A),
- 45+1', Trimboli S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Radaelli N. ↓, Bianay Balcot C. ↑,
- 52', Bianay Balcot C. ↓, Chrysopoulos K. ↑,
- 53', Venturi M. 🟨,
- 55', Wieser D. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 3, Doumbia I. ⚽, Yeboah J. (A),
- 64', Hainaut A. 🟨,
- 65', Venturi M. ↓, Korac S. ↑,
- 70', Ruocco F. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
- 70', Wieser D. ↓, Zuccon F. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 4, Adorante A. ⚽, Korac S. (A),
- 77', Sagrado R. ↓, Compagnon M. ↑,
- 77', Adorante A. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
- 78', Yeboah J. ↓, Pietrelli A. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 4, Mensah D. ⚽,
- 84', Goncalves T. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
- 90+1', Perez K. ↓, Duncan A. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 5, Chrysopoulos K. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Mantova
17.9% | Draw
22.8% | Venezia
59.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Mantova - Venezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.16 ↑
(4.89) |
4.14 ↓
(4.18) |
1.58 ↓
(1.6) |
6.9%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mantova - Venezia?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Venezia (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1.25 - Venezia (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Venezia will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Venezia will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Venezia (votes: 11 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 0.
- Recent performances by Mantova have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Venezia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Venezia is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Mantova: Artioli F.
(Inactive)
Bonfanti N.
(Inactive)
Caprini M.
(Inactive)
Maggioni T.
(Inactive)
Mantovani V.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Venezia: Bjarkason B.
(Inactive)
Conde C.
(Broken Leg)
Plizzari A.
(Inactive)
Svoboda M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Mantova: Mensah D.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 2:15. (average 0.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Venezia?
Mantova has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Venezia won against Mantova?
Venezia has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Venezia were as follows:
29.11.2025
Venezia
-
Mantova
3:0
16.08.2025
Venezia
-
Mantova
4:0
Latest results of Mantova
Latest results of Venezia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 54:25 | 29 | 57 |
| 2 | Monza | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 41:20 | 21 | 57 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Palermo | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Modena | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36:22 | 14 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Cesena | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 27:28 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Padova | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | Empoli | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Avellino | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 29:36 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 | Mantova | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 17 | Spezia | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23:35 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:39 | -15 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Pescara | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
