Result
1:1
15/02/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 25
- Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.03 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (410/472) | 67% (142/211) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (410/472) | 67% (142/211) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (25/43) | 29% (15/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (123/167) | 44% (27/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (8/44) | 0% (0/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 54 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Girma N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 31', Reinhart T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Obaretin N. ↓, Guarino G. ↑,
- 46', Nasti M. ↓, Popov B. ↑,
- 46', Candela A. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
- 47', Popov B. 🟨,
- 58', Tripaldelli A. ↓, Bozzolan A. ↑,
- 58', Reinhart T. ↓, Portanova M. ↑,
- 65', Degli Innocenti D. 🟨,
- 68', Ignacchiti L. ↓, Saporiti E. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 1, Shpendi S. ⚽, Elia S. (A),
- 78', Girma N. ↓, Lambourde M. ↑,
- 90', Guarino G. 🟨,
- 90+4', Curto M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Belardinelli L. ↓, Mendicino L. ↑,
- 90+5', Novakovich A. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
- 90+7', Fumagalli T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Empoli
48.8% | Draw
29.5% | Reggiana
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Empoli that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reggiana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Empoli - Reggiana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(1.97) |
3.16 ↓
(3.25) |
4.36 ↑
(3.75) |
6.6%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Empoli - Reggiana?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Empoli (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- Empoli is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Reggiana is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Empoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Empoli is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Empoli: Bianchi F.
(Inactive)
Ghion A.
(Inactive)
Moruzzi B.
(Inactive)
Pellegri P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Reggiana: Bertagnoli M.
(Inactive)
Mateus Lusuardi
(Injury)
Paz Y.
(Inactive)
Sampirisi M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Reggiana: Portanova M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Reggiana?
Empoli has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reggiana won against Empoli?
Reggiana has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Reggiana were as follows:
29.08.2025
Reggiana
-
Empoli
3:1
15.08.2025
Empoli
-
Reggiana
2:1
Latest results of Reggiana
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 60 |
| 2 | Monza | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Palermo | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Modena | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:24 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Cesena | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Padova | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Empoli | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Avellino | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:40 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Entella | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | Mantova | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | Spezia | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 19 | Bari | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Pescara | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
