Result
4:0
09/11/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MLS - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV, EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (486/567) | 74% (210/282) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (486/567) | 74% (210/282) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (21/39) | 32% (18/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (90/129) | 51% (44/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 33% (3/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 2.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.91 | -1.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Dreyer A. ⚽, Valakari O. (A),
- 17', 2 - 0, Pellegrino A. ⚽,
- 29', Fory J. 🟨,
- 36', Duah M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Fory J. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
- 53', 3 - 0, Pellegrino A. ⚽, Baird C. (A), Dreyer A. (A2)
- 55', Baird C. 🟨,
- 56', Pereira da Costa D. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
- 56', Chara D. ↓, Paredes C. ↑,
- 56', Kelsy K. ↓, Mora F. ↑,
- 66', Paredes C. 🟨,
- 70', Pellegrino A. ↓, Lozano H. ↑,
- 70', Baird C. ↓, Ingvartsen M. ↑,
- 71', Ayala D. 🟨,
- 75', Bombino L. 🟨,
- 75', Ayala D. ↓, Guerra G. ↑,
- 79', 4 - 0, Dreyer A. ⚽,
- 80', Mosquera J. 🟥,
- 84', Duah M. ↓, McNair P. ↑,
- 84', Dreyer A. ↓, Soma P. ↑,
- 84', Bombino L. ↓, Negri F. ↑,
- 87', Miller K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
San Diego
61.8% | Draw
21.3% | Portland Timbers
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
San Diego - Portland Timbers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.59) |
4.48 ↑
(4.36) |
5.51 ↑
(4.67) |
5.2%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for San Diego - Portland Timbers?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Portland will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - San Diego (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Series tied 1-1. 3rd leg.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, San Diego is the team to beat.
- There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A.
(Knee Injury)
Harangi A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Kumado W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Reyes A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Verhoeven O.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Portland: Carballo F.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Portland: McGraw Z.
(Back Injury)
Rojas M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Diego won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego won against Portland Timbers?
San Diego has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portland Timbers won against San Diego?
Portland Timbers has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego - Portland Timbers were as follows:
01.11.2025
Portland Timbers
-
San Diego
3:2
26.10.2025
San Diego
-
Portland Timbers
2:1
18.10.2025
Portland Timbers
-
San Diego
0:4
23.08.2025
San Diego
-
Portland Timbers
0:0
Latest results of San Diego
Latest results of Portland Timbers
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 | 12 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | San Diego FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Minnesota United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | St. Louis City | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New York City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | New York Red Bulls | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 5 | DC United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Toronto FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | New England Revolution | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Atlanta Utd | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Cincinnati | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 | Columbus Crew | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
