Oldham Athletic vs Fleetwood Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 32
  • Referee: Dale A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.670.83
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
33
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
77
Passes
66% (210/320)67% (249/369)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
0.670.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.240.38
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
79
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
1723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
126
Passes
66% (210/320)67% (249/369)
Long passes
41% (31/76)38% (34/89)
Passes in final third
61% (91/149)54% (67/123)
Crosses
24% (7/29)21% (6/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.78
Throw ins
2824
Fouls
612
Tackles
80% (8/10)74% (14/19)
Duels won
6766
Clearances
4031
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.380.24
Goals prevented
-0.62-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 39', Garner J. , Fondop-Talum M. ,
  • 45+2', 0 - 1, Helm M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Simeu D. , Stevens J. ,
  • 46', Taylor K. , Drummond K. ,
  • 62', Powell J. 🟨,
  • 65', Davies W. 🟨,
  • 73', Kavanagh C. , Hawkes J. ,
  • 75', Davies W. , Osong D. E. ,
  • 75', Virtue-Thick M. , Neal H. ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Stevens J. ,
  • 87', Ennis E. , Clark M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Oldham Athletic
46.4%
Draw
28.2%
Fleetwood Town
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 27.3% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 22.8% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oldham Athletic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Oldham Athletic - Fleetwood Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.89)
    3.31
    (3.38)
    3.65
    (3.83)
    7.2%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Oldham Athletic - Fleetwood Town?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 16 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • In this match, Oldham is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D. (Inactive) Johnson W. (Inactive) Potter F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oldham: Garner J. (Injury) Mellon M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J. (Inactive) McCann L. (Inactive) Norwood J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oldham Athletic - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Fleetwood Town - Oldham Athletic 1:1
    Latest results of Oldham Athletic
    Latest results of Fleetwood Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley422314567:412683
    2MK Dons422113877:423576
    3Notts Co422371271:452676
    4Cambridge Utd412014758:312774
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford422341557:50773
    7Chesterfield411814963:521168
    8Crewe421991461:501166
    9Oldham4117141052:351765
    10Grimsby4018111159:431665
    11Barnet4217131257:471064
    12Walsall4217111452:46662
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4214131551:53-255
    15Bristol Rovers421642246:62-1652
    16Accrington411491840:46-651
    17Gillingham4112131648:60-1249
    18Shrewsbury421282239:66-2744
    19Cheltenham4011101944:67-2343
    20Crawley428132140:62-2237
    21Tranmere41992348:71-2336
    22Newport42972641:72-3134
    23Barrow41892438:65-2733
    24Harrogate42892534:64-3033

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League