Bristol Rovers vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Memorial Stadium (Bristol).

League Two - Round 34
Referee: Yates O. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.21	1.10
Ball possession
37%	63%
Total shots
19	9
Shots on target
3	6
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
5	4
Passes
63% (155/245)	73% (309/422)
Yellow cards
3	0
Expected goals (xG)
2.21	1.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.90	1.86
Total shots
19	9
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked shots
10	1
Shots inside the box
12	8
Shots outside the box
7	1
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
30	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	5
Free kicks
13	18
Passes
63% (155/245)	73% (309/422)
Long passes
31% (24/78)	33% (24/73)
Passes in final third
52% (64/122)	54% (69/128)
Crosses
62% (8/13)	38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.59	1.88
Throw ins
13	28
Fouls
18	13
Tackles
63% (10/16)	63% (12/19)
Duels won
53	63
Clearances
32	27
Interceptions
9	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	0
xGOT faced
1.86	0.90
Goals prevented
0.86	-2.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Balmer K. ⚽,
7', 2 - 0, Quigley J. ⚽, Akhamrich Y. (A),
38', 2 - 1, Cook A. ⚽, Vernam C. (A),
45+1', Mola C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Harrison E. 🟨,
63', 3 - 1, Akhamrich Y. ⚽,
66', Quigley J. ↓, Omochere P. ↑,
66', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
69', McJannet C. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
71', Smallwood R. 🟨,
79', Green K. ↓, Turi G. D. ↑,
80', Walker J. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
83', Harrison E. ↓, Cavegn F. ↑,
89', Vernam C. ↓, Sellars-Fleming T. ↑,
90', Akhamrich Y. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol Rovers
30.4%

Draw
27.8%

Grimsby Town
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

28%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

27.5%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Bristol Rovers - Grimsby Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.63)	3.36 ↑ (3.25)	2.23 ↓ (2.44)	7.2% (9.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Grimsby Town?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 and 10).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Grimsby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Grimsby has had a series of home games.
Grimsby might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Harbottle R. (Inactive) McEachran J. (Inactive) Southam-Hales M. (Inactive) Sparkes J. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Pym C. (Inactive) Svanthorsson J. (Illness) Tharme D. (Injury)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Forde S. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Grimsby: Lavelle S. (Inactive)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Grimsby Town?

Bristol Rovers has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Bristol Rovers?

Grimsby Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Grimsby Town were as follows:

30.08.2025 Grimsby Town - Bristol Rovers 0:1

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

17.02.2026 Oldham Athletic - Bristol Rovers 2:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Cambridge United - Bristol Rovers 3:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Bristol Rovers - Chesterfield 2:3 ✺

03.02.2026 Bristol Rovers - Walsall 2:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Bristol Rovers - Newport County 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Grimsby Town

18.02.2026 Grimsby Town - Walsall 2:2 ✺

15.02.2026 Grimsby Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers 0:1 ✺

11.02.2026 Grimsby Town - Accrington Stanley 1:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Newport County - Grimsby Town 0:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons 2:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	43	23	14	6	68:43	25	83
2	MK Dons	43	22	13	8	79:43	36	79
3	Notts Co	42	23	7	12	71:45	26	76
4	Cambridge Utd	41	20	14	7	58:31	27	74
5	Swindon	43	22	8	13	67:51	16	74
6	Salford	42	23	4	15	57:50	7	73
7	Chesterfield	41	18	14	9	63:52	11	68
8	Crewe	42	19	9	14	61:50	11	66
9	Oldham	41	17	14	10	52:35	17	65
10	Grimsby	40	18	11	11	59:43	16	65
11	Barnet	42	17	13	12	57:47	10	64
12	Walsall	42	17	11	14	52:46	6	62
13	Colchester	42	16	12	14	56:45	11	60
14	Fleetwood	42	14	13	15	51:53	-2	55
15	Bristol Rovers	43	17	4	22	49:63	-14	55
16	Accrington	41	14	9	18	40:46	-6	51
17	Gillingham	41	12	13	16	48:60	-12	49
18	Shrewsbury	42	12	8	22	39:66	-27	44
19	Cheltenham	40	11	10	19	44:67	-23	43
20	Crawley	43	8	13	22	41:65	-24	37
21	Tranmere	41	9	9	23	48:71	-23	36
22	Newport	42	9	7	26	41:72	-31	34
23	Barrow	41	8	9	24	38:65	-27	33
24	Harrogate	42	8	9	25	34:64	-30	33

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League