Oldham Athletic vs Bristol Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Boundary Park (Oldham).

League Two - Round 33
Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.26	1.70
Ball possession
40%	60%
Total shots
8	20
Shots on target
6	5
Big chances
3	3
Corner kicks
2	6
Passes
63% (196/311)	73% (343/472)
Yellow cards
3	4
Expected goals (xG)
1.26	1.70
xG on target (xGOT)
2.02	0.74
Total shots
8	20
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
1	8
Blocked shots
1	7
Shots inside the box
5	13
Shots outside the box
2	7
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
3	3
Corner kicks
2	6
Touches in opposition box
11	35
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
15	8
Passes
63% (196/311)	73% (343/472)
Long passes
33% (30/92)	42% (43/103)
Passes in final third
48% (57/118)	57% (97/169)
Crosses
18% (3/17)	36% (10/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.33	1.49
Throw ins
20	22
Fouls
8	15
Tackles
69% (9/13)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
54	66
Clearances
45	27
Interceptions
4	6
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	4
xGOT faced
0.74	2.02
Goals prevented
0.74	0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Drummond K. ⚽, Fondop-Talum M. (A),
18', Thompson-Sommers K. 🟨,
28', Drummond K. 🟨,
28', Lockyer T. 🟨,
30', Pett T. 🟨,
37', Kavanagh C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Kilgour A. 🟨,
59', Fondop-Talum M. (Penalty Awarded),
59', 2 - 0, Fondop-Talum M. ⚽,
60', Kavanagh C. ↓, Woods R. ↑,
66', Lockyer T. ↓, Moore T. ↑,
68', Thomas L. 🟨,
72', Quigley J. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
72', Cavegn F. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
72', Thomas L. ↓, Akhamrich Y. ↑,
79', Stevens J. ↓, Hannant L. ↑,
80', Leigh T. ↓, De Havilland R. ↑,
85', Drummond K. ↓, Hammond O. ↑,
85', Fondop-Talum M. ↓, Garner J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Oldham Athletic
44.1%

Draw
27.7%

Bristol Rovers
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The chances for Bristol Rovers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Oldham Athletic - Bristol Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.1)	3.38 ↑ (3.25)	3.29 ↑ (3.25)	7% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Oldham Athletic - Bristol Rovers?

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Oldham (votes: 1 - 50%). Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Bristol Rovers (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bristol Rovers (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Oldham Athletic will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Oldham (votes: 1 - 25%). Bristol Rovers (votes: 3 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 21).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 2.
Oldham has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Bristol Rovers's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Oldham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Oldham will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Southam-Hales M. (Inactive) Sparkes J. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Oldham: Mellon M. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Harbottle R. (Inactive) Lockyer T. (Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Bristol Rovers?

Oldham Athletic has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Oldham Athletic?

Bristol Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Oldham Athletic - Bristol Rovers were as follows:

19.08.2025 Bristol Rovers - Oldham Athletic 0:0

Latest results of Oldham Athletic

14.02.2026 Oldham Athletic - Fleetwood Town 1:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Swindon Town - Oldham Athletic 3:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Oldham Athletic - Cambridge United 0:3 ✺

24.01.2026 Barnet - Oldham Athletic 3:2 ✺

17.01.2026 Oldham Athletic - Cheltenham Town 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

14.02.2026 Cambridge United - Bristol Rovers 3:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Bristol Rovers - Chesterfield 2:3 ✺

03.02.2026 Bristol Rovers - Walsall 2:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Bristol Rovers - Newport County 3:0 ✺

27.01.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	MK Dons ✔	45	24	13	8	85:44	41	85
2	Bromley ✔	45	23	15	7	68:45	23	84
3	Cambridge Utd	45	22	15	8	66:33	33	81
4	Salford	45	25	5	15	61:51	10	80
5	Notts Co	45	24	7	14	73:51	22	79
6	Grimsby	45	22	11	12	73:49	24	77
7	Chesterfield	45	20	16	9	69:55	14	76
8	Swindon	45	22	9	14	69:57	12	75
9	Barnet	45	20	13	12	68:52	16	73
10	Crewe	45	19	9	17	64:58	6	66
11	Oldham	45	17	14	14	57:44	13	65
12	Walsall	45	18	11	16	55:53	2	65
13	Colchester	45	17	12	16	58:48	10	63
14	Bristol Rovers	45	19	4	22	55:64	-9	61
15	Fleetwood	45	15	15	15	56:57	-1	60
16	Accrington	45	14	11	20	47:55	-8	53
17	Cheltenham	45	14	10	21	52:75	-23	52
18	Gillingham	45	12	14	19	52:72	-20	50
19	Shrewsbury	45	13	10	22	42:68	-26	49
20	Tranmere	45	10	10	25	53:78	-25	40
21	Newport	45	11	7	27	46:76	-30	40
22	Crawley	45	8	15	22	44:68	-24	39
23	Harrogate	45	10	9	26	38:66	-28	39
24	Barrow	45	9	9	27	44:76	-32	36

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Clinched Spots for Teams

MK Dons is Qualified for League One
Bromley is Qualified for League One