Lyon vs Lens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3 penalties
05/03/2026 at 15:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Coupe de France - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.841.82
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
44
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
67
Passes
85% (459/538)75% (276/367)
Yellow cards
13
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.841.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.051.98
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
45
Shots inside the box
711
Shots outside the box
71
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
1432
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1610
Passes
85% (459/538)75% (276/367)
Long passes
40% (16/40)29% (14/49)
Passes in final third
67% (68/102)66% (66/100)
Crosses
33% (4/12)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.861.12
Throw ins
2416
Fouls
1016
Tackles
75% (9/12)80% (12/15)
Duels won
5546
Clearances
2116
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
1.981.05
Goals prevented
-0.02-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Thauvin F. ,
  • 45+1', 0 - 2, Sima A. , Thauvin F. (A),
  • 45+3', Edouard O. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 54', Udol M. 🟨,
  • 59', Tagliafico N. , Himbert R. ,
  • 64', Masuaku A. 🟥,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Yaremchuk R. , Himbert R. (A),
  • 69', Maitland-Niles A. , Hateboer H. ,
  • 78', Celik N. 🟨,
  • 78', Edouard O. , Haidara A. ,
  • 87', Nartey N. , Karabec A. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Himbert R. , Tolisso C. (A),
  • 90+6', Sima A. , Fofana R. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Karabec A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Fofana R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Tolisso C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Abdulhamid S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Morton T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Udol M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Niakhate M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Sangare M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Endrick (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Thauvin F. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Lyon
35.6%
Draw
27.4%
Lens
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 27% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 27.1% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Lyon - Lens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (2.39)
    3.44
    (3.45)
    2.56
    (2.75)
    6.2%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lyon - Lens?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 18 - 54.5%). Lens will win (votes: 6 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 37.5%71.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 4 - 50%). Lens (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Lens (1.82) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 9 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • TQ, OT - Lyon (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Lyon (1.99) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Lyon (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Lyon (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 8 - 50%). Lens (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 1.
    • Recent performances by Lyon have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lens is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Kluivert R. (Inactive) Moreira A. (Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury) Sulc P. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Lens: Aguilar R. (Injury) Antonio K. (Foot Injury) Baidoo S. (Muscle Injury) Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Gurtner R. (Muscle Injury) Saint-Maximin A. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Lens were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Lens - Lyon 0:1
    04.05.2025 Lyon - Lens 1:2
    15.09.2024 Lens - Lyon 0:0
    03.03.2024 Lyon - Lens 0:3
    02.12.2023 Lens - Lyon 3:2
    Latest results of Lyon
    01.03.2026 Olympique Marseille - Lyon 3:2
    22.02.2026 Strasbourg - Lyon 3:1
    15.02.2026 Lyon - Nice 2:0
    07.02.2026 Nantes - Lyon 0:1
    04.02.2026 Lyon - Laval 2:0
    Latest results of Lens
    27.02.2026 Strasbourg - Lens 1:1
    21.02.2026 Lens - Monaco 2:3
    14.02.2026 Paris FC - Lens 0:5
    07.02.2026 Lens - Rennes 3:1
    04.02.2026 Troyes - Lens 2:4
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1Saint-Brice CourcellesBogny1 : 2
    2CamonLusitanos0 : 7
    4ByeLille
    5LyonBye
    7Saint-Cyr CollongesThonon-Evian1 : 0
    8FC RhoneGrasse2 : 1
    9SeyssinetAubagne1 : 0
    10SS AllingesIstres1 : 2
    11SA MerignacColomiers1 : 0
    12TrelissacPau FC0 : 2
    13Stade QuimperloisAncienne Chateau-Gontier0 : 9
    14St. Colomban LocmineGuingamp1 : 2
    15Le Cellier MauvesLaval0 : 6
    16Saint-PauloiseDominicaine1 : 0
    17EspoirEveil1 : 0
    18ChallansPontivy0 : 2
    19SableSaint-Malo0 : 1
    20US Chateau-MaloBastia0 : 6
    21Olympique MarcquoisAire-sur-la-Lys5 : 0
    22LonguenesseBondues0 : 2
    23TouraineEpernay2 : 1
    24AizenayTroyes0 : 3
    25Villars-l'IsleSarre Union1 : 2
    26PontarlierSochaux2 : 3
    27SteenvoordeChambly2 : 1
    28Loon PlageBethune1 : 2
    29LensBye
    31APM MetzFleury-Merogis3 : 2
    32CambraiFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 4
    33YvetotASPTT Caen2 : 1
    34BayeuxCaen3 : 2
    35Le PoinconnetRomorantin0 : 2
    36BloisClermont2 : 1
    37MarseilleBye
    39Mauguio CarnonSelongey0 : 1
    40Atlas PailladeBourg en Bresse0 : 2
    41CormontreuilPorto Portugais5 : 2
    42PremontreChantilly0 : 3
    43WittenheimFreyming2 : 3
    44BesanconThionville4 : 0
    45Pen HirLes Sables1 : 2
    46PlouvornVitre2 : 1
    48ByeRennes
    49PledranPlabennec0 : 2
    50OrvaultLes Herbiers1 : 3
    52ByeAngers
    53PierrelatteLyon - La Duchere0 : 2
    54Carnoux F.C.Pirae5 : 1
    56ByeToulouse
    57MontreuilBandrele1 : 0
    58GranvilleDinan3 : 1
    59Gouzon AvenirChauvigny1 : 5
    60LapalisseStade Poitevin1 : 2
    61Le HavreBye
    63Reims Ste AnneGFC Ajaccio2 : 1
    64AubyAmiens0 : 3
    65BrestBye
    67AvranchesParis 13 Atl.1 : 0
    68SA BeaumontAubervilliers4 : 7
    69StrasbourgBye
    71ES CappelleAbbeville2 : 3
    72BoulogneDunkerque2 : 3
    73Saint-JeanAngouleme CFC1 : 0
    74OrleansBayonne3 : 0
    75JA DrancyBeauvais0 : 1
    76Saint AmandDieppe0 : 3
    77AuxerreBye
    80ByeMonaco
    81Montreal-la-CluseChalon0 : 3
    82ASPTT DijonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    83FC 2 Rives 82Mazeres0 : 1
    84EBBEBordeaux0 : 1
    85IC CroixRacing CFF3 : 2
    86Etoile MatouryLe Geldar1 : 2
    87AvionTorcy0 : 2
    88OCPAMReims0 : 1
    89Etoile BobignyVilleneuve-la-Garenne1 : 2
    90IvryLe Mans1 : 2
    91Saint-MezieryPerigny1 : 2
    92MontmorillonBeaucouze0 : 1
    93CannesAnnecy1 : 2
    94Olympique de VillefontaineGrenoble0 : 3
    95SarregueminesFuriani Agliani5 : 3
    96GSA TomblaineNancy0 : 5
    97Seignosse CapbretonMarmande2 : 3
    98Bassin d'ArcachonBlagnac4 : 1
    99AndrezieuxHauts Lyonnais1 : 2
    100Savigneux MontbrisonFeurs3 : 5
    101LorientBye
    103MoulienAS Le Gosier2 : 3
    104OisselQuevilly Rouen3 : 2
    105PSGBye
    107FontenayChamalieres1 : 0
    108Biars-BretenouxChateauroux0 : 2
    109Paris FCBye
    111MutzigRaon L Etape0 : 3
    112MagentaMulhouse0 : 3
    113Les BleuetsConcarneau0 : 3
    114St. RenanStade Briochin0 : 4
    116ByeNantes
    117NiceBye
    119Nord LozereEcotay Moingt4 : 5
    120QuetignySt Etienne1 : 3
    121Strasbourg KoenigshoffenBiesheim2 : 3
    122ForbachRed Star0 : 2
    124ByeMetz
    125AuchCanet Roussillon1 : 4
    126LavaurRodez1 : 3
    127MontceauL'Etrat La Tour2 : 1
    128AgdeMontpellier0 : 2

    1/64-finals
    1BognyLusitanos0 : 3
    2ByeLille
    3LyonBye
    4Saint-Cyr CollongesFC Rhone1 : 0
    5SeyssinetIstres0 : 2
    6SA MerignacPau FC1 : 0
    7Ancienne Chateau-GontierGuingamp0 : 4
    8LavalSaint-Pauloise6 : 0
    9EspoirPontivy0 : 4
    10Saint-MaloBastia0 : 1
    11Olympique MarcquoisBondues2 : 0
    12TouraineTroyes0 : 2
    13Sarre UnionSochaux0 : 6
    14SteenvoordeBethune0 : 1
    15LensBye
    16APM MetzFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 2
    17YvetotBayeux0 : 1
    18RomorantinBlois2 : 3
    19MarseilleBye
    20SelongeyBourg en Bresse2 : 3
    21CormontreuilChantilly1 : 2
    22FreymingBesancon1 : 0
    23Les SablesPlouvorn2 : 1
    24ByeRennes
    25PlabennecLes Herbiers1 : 2
    26ByeAngers
    27Lyon - La DuchereCarnoux F.C.3 : 1
    28ByeToulouse
    29MontreuilGranville2 : 1
    30ChauvignyStade Poitevin4 : 3
    31Le HavreBye
    32Reims Ste AnneAmiens0 : 4
    33BrestBye
    34AvranchesAubervilliers2 : 1
    35StrasbourgBye
    36AbbevilleDunkerque0 : 5
    37Saint-JeanOrleans1 : 2
    38BeauvaisDieppe1 : 2
    39AuxerreBye
    40ByeMonaco
    41ChalonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    42MazeresBordeaux3 : 4
    43IC CroixLe Geldar2 : 1
    44TorcyReims1 : 5
    45Villeneuve-la-GarenneLe Mans2 : 3
    46PerignyBeaucouze3 : 1
    47AnnecyGrenoble1 : 2
    48SarregueminesNancy3 : 4
    49MarmandeBassin d'Arcachon0 : 1
    50Hauts LyonnaisFeurs2 : 1
    51LorientBye
    52AS Le GosierOissel3 : 2
    53PSGBye
    54FontenayChateauroux4 : 1
    55Paris FCBye
    56Raon L EtapeMulhouse3 : 2
    57ConcarneauStade Briochin1 : 0
    58ByeNantes
    59NiceBye
    60Ecotay MoingtSt Etienne1 : 11
    61BiesheimRed Star2 : 1
    62ByeMetz
    63Canet RoussillonRodez1 : 0
    64MontceauMontpellier0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1LusitanosLille0 : 1
    2LyonSaint-Cyr Collonges3 : 0
    3IstresSA Merignac1 : 0
    4GuingampLaval0 : 1
    5PontivyBastia0 : 1
    6Olympique MarcquoisTroyes1 : 3
    7SochauxBethune4 : 2
    8LensFeignies-Aulnoye3 : 1
    9BayeuxBlois2 : 1
    10MarseilleBourg en Bresse6 : 0
    11ChantillyFreyming3 : 0
    12Les SablesRennes0 : 3
    13Les HerbiersAngers0 : 1
    14Lyon - La DuchereToulouse1 : 2
    15MontreuilChauvigny2 : 1
    16Le HavreAmiens0 : 2
    17BrestAvranches1 : 2
    18StrasbourgDunkerque2 : 1
    19OrleansDieppe3 : 0
    20AuxerreMonaco1 : 2
    21Le Puy-en-VelayBordeaux1 : 0
    22IC CroixReims0 : 4
    23Le MansPerigny2 : 1
    24GrenobleNancy1 : 2
    25Bassin d'ArcachonHauts Lyonnais0 : 1
    26LorientAS Le Gosier7 : 0
    27PSGFontenay4 : 0
    28Paris FCRaon L Etape3 : 0
    29ConcarneauNantes3 : 5
    30NiceSt Etienne2 : 1
    31BiesheimMetz0 : 3
    32Canet RoussillonMontpellier0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1LilleLyon1 : 2
    2IstresLaval0 : 2
    3BastiaTroyes0 : 2
    4SochauxLens0 : 3
    5BayeuxMarseille0 : 9
    6ChantillyRennes1 : 3
    7AngersToulouse1 : 2
    8MontreuilAmiens2 : 4
    9AvranchesStrasbourg0 : 6
    10OrleansMonaco1 : 3
    11Le Puy-en-VelayReims0 : 1
    12Le MansNancy1 : 0
    13Hauts LyonnaisLorient1 : 3
    14PSGParis FC0 : 1
    15NantesNice1 : 2
    16MetzMontpellier0 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1LyonLaval2 : 0
    2TroyesLens2 : 4
    3MarseilleRennes3 : 0
    4ToulouseAmiens1 : 0
    5StrasbourgMonaco3 : 1
    6ReimsLe Mans3 : 0
    7LorientParis FC2 : 0
    8NiceMontpellier3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1LyonLens2 : 3
    2MarseilleToulouse2 : 3
    3StrasbourgReims2 : 1
    4LorientNice0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1LensToulouse4 : 1
    2StrasbourgNice0 : 2

    Final
    1LensNice