Result
3:0
30/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Maranhao ⚽,
- 14', Thiago Ennes 🟨,
- 38', Pedro Cuiaba 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Lorran ↓, Taua ↑,
- 46', Pedro Cuiaba ↓, Kelvyn ↑,
- 46', Calyson ↓, Igor Torres ↑,
- 47', Taua 🟨,
- 52', Max Miller 🟨,
- 63', Taua 🟨,
- 63', 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 0, Edison Negueba ⚽,
- 68', Tomas Bastos ↓, Paulinho Souza ↑,
- 69', Max Miller ↓, Caua Tavares ↑,
- 74', Douglas Skilo ↓, Faria Giequelin L. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 0, Maranhao ⚽,
- 79', Ze Vitor 🟨,
- 81', Ronald Carvalho 🟨,
- 81', Ze Vitor ↓, Bruno Cheron ↑,
- 81', Danielzinho ↓, Parrudo ↑,
- 81', Maranhao ↓, Julio Rodrigues ↑,
- 84', Ronald Carvalho ↓, Jhow Alecxander ↑,
- 86', Julio Rodrigues 🟨,
Chances of winning
Maringá
52.4% | Draw
28.6% | Caxias
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maringá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Maringá - Caxias Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.74) |
3.35 ↓
(3.43) |
5.06 ↑
(4.39) |
4.4%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Maringá - Caxias?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Maringá will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Caxias will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Maringá (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Caxias (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
- In recent matches, Maringá has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Caxias is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Maringá is the team to beat.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Maringá won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maringá won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Maringá won against Caxias?
Maringá has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caxias won against Maringá?
Caxias has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Maringá - Caxias were as follows:
Latest results of Maringá
Brazilian Serie C Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ituano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Maringa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Brusque | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Floresta EC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Paysandu PA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Botafogo PB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Amazonas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Figueirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Guarani | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Maranhao | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Ypiranga FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Ferroviaria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | SER Caxias | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Inter de Limeira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Confianca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Barra FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Anapolis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
