Barrow vs Bristol Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Holker Street (Barrow in Furness).

League Two - Round 25
Referee: Oldham J. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.04	2.16
Ball possession
51%	49%
Total shots
9	9
Shots on target
3	5
Big chances
0	2
Corner kicks
2	6
Passes
69% (239/344)	66% (215/326)
Yellow cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
1.04	2.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.24	2.32
Total shots
9	9
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
3	1
Blocked shots
3	3
Shots inside the box
8	8
Shots outside the box
1	1
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	2
Corner kicks
2	6
Touches in opposition box
14	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free kicks
6	11
Passes
69% (239/344)	66% (215/326)
Long passes
35% (29/82)	39% (34/88)
Passes in final third
52% (49/95)	54% (75/140)
Crosses
35% (6/17)	18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.82	1.19
Throw ins
34	31
Fouls
11	6
Tackles
53% (9/17)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
40	42
Clearances
41	14
Interceptions
6	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	3
xGOT faced
2.32	0.24
Goals prevented
0.32	0.24

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Leigh T. ⚽, Sparkes J. (A),
43', Anderson F. ↓, Shipley L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Barkhuizen T. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Cavegn F. ⚽, Senior J. (A),
64', MacDonald A. 🟨,
69', Jackson B. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
90+3', Cavegn F. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Barrow
34%

Draw
29.1%

Bristol Rovers
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

29.4%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

28%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Barrow - Bristol Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.52)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	2.53 ↓ (2.66)	7.1% (9.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Barrow - Bristol Rovers?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrow (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Barrow (1.91) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Bristol Rovers (2.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bristol Rovers (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrow (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Bristol Rovers (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 20).
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Barrow: Foley S. (Surgery) Healey R. (Knee Injury) Smith K. (Ankle Injury) Walker T. (Inactive)
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Omochere P. (Injury)
There are questionable in Barrow: Hemmings K. (Injury) Winterbottom B. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: McEachran J. (Inactive) Morton C. (Inactive) Southam-Hales M. (Inactive)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Barrow won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Bristol Rovers?

Barrow has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Barrow?

Bristol Rovers has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Bristol Rovers were as follows:

13.09.2025 Bristol Rovers - Barrow 2:1

Latest results of Barrow

06.03.2026 Cheltenham Town - Barrow 2:2 ✺

28.02.2026 Barrow - Gillingham 0:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Fleetwood Town - Barrow 3:2 ✺

17.02.2026 Barrow - Harrogate Town 0:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Barrow - Colchester United 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

07.03.2026 Bristol Rovers - Crewe Alexandra 2:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Swindon Town - Bristol Rovers 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Bristol Rovers - Grimsby Town 3:1 ✺

17.02.2026 Oldham Athletic - Bristol Rovers 2:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Cambridge United - Bristol Rovers 3:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	42	23	14	5	67:41	26	83
2	MK Dons	42	21	13	8	77:42	35	76
3	Notts Co	42	23	7	12	71:45	26	76
4	Cambridge Utd	41	20	14	7	58:31	27	74
5	Swindon	43	22	8	13	67:51	16	74
6	Salford	42	23	4	15	57:50	7	73
7	Chesterfield	41	18	14	9	63:52	11	68
8	Crewe	42	19	9	14	61:50	11	66
9	Oldham	41	17	14	10	52:35	17	65
10	Grimsby	40	18	11	11	59:43	16	65
11	Barnet	42	17	13	12	57:47	10	64
12	Walsall	42	17	11	14	52:46	6	62
13	Colchester	42	16	12	14	56:45	11	60
14	Fleetwood	42	14	13	15	51:53	-2	55
15	Bristol Rovers	42	16	4	22	46:62	-16	52
16	Accrington	41	14	9	18	40:46	-6	51
17	Gillingham	41	12	13	16	48:60	-12	49
18	Shrewsbury	42	12	8	22	39:66	-27	44
19	Cheltenham	40	11	10	19	44:67	-23	43
20	Crawley	42	8	13	21	40:62	-22	37
21	Tranmere	41	9	9	23	48:71	-23	36
22	Newport	42	9	7	26	41:72	-31	34
23	Barrow	41	8	9	24	38:65	-27	33
24	Harrogate	42	8	9	25	34:64	-30	33

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League