Platense vs CD Marathón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Honduras Liga Nacional Platense - CD Marathón
Result
1:1
11/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hondurasHondurasDeportes TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
211
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
610
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
211
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Messiniti N. ,
  • 22', Figueroa H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Perez C. ,
  • 60', Padilla O. (Pen),
  • 64', Vega Orellana A. N. , Martinez Hernandez F. E. ,
  • 66', Aguilera J. 🟨,
  • 85', Castillo I. , Ramos O. ,
  • 87', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Platense
18.3%
Draw
23.3%
CD Marathón
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 26.4% 47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 25.7% 48.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Platense's form might have worsened.
  • CD Marathón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CD Marathón's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Platense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CD Marathón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Platense - CD Marathón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.98
    (3.41)
    3.92
    (3.44)
    1.57
    (1.93)
    9.5%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Marathón is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Platense won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 23:44. (average 1.2:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Platense won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 1.6:2.3).
    Latest results of Platense
    31.08.2025 Platense - Choloma 3:0
    10.08.2025 Platense - Lobos UPNFM 4:1
    30.07.2025 Juticalpa - Platense 1:0
    Latest results of CD Marathón
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Marathon1054121:81319
    2Olimpia953121:111018
    3Olancho944117:12516
    4Motagua942317:16114
    5Juticalpa842212:16-414
    6Platense941417:11613
    7UPNFM934215:15013
    8Real Espana932413:12111
    9Genesis82159:13-47
    10Choloma921610:24-147
    11Victoria91086:20-143

          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )