Barnet vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Barnet - Grimsby Town
Result
3:0
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 9
  • Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.36
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
58% (171/294)55% (156/285)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.36
xG on target (xGOT)
2.300.06
Total shots
197
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
4616
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
69
Passes
58% (171/294)55% (156/285)
Long passes
31% (26/83)20% (18/88)
Passes in final third
55% (86/156)51% (44/86)
Crosses
24% (7/29)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.16
Throw-ins
3836
Fouls
96
Tackles
50% (7/14)65% (11/17)
Duels won
6462
Clearances
1750
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.062.30
Goals prevented
0.06-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', Collinge D. 🟨,
  • 28', Shelton M. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Ofoborh N. , Shelton M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 64', 2 - 0, Ndlovu L. , Kanu I. (A),
  • 65', Kabia J. , Burns D. ,
  • 65', Walker J. , Oduor C. ,
  • 67', 3 - 0, Ofoborh N. , Smith K. (A),
  • 73', Khouri E. , Turi G. D. ,
  • 74', Vernam C. , Soonsup-Bell J. ,
  • 77', Glover R. , Osadebe E. ,
  • 78', Staunton R. , Sweeney J. ,
  • 80', Stead C. , Stutter R. ,
  • 81', Ndlovu L. , Hawkins O. ,
  • 81', Smith K. , Galvin R. ,
  • 86', Shelton M. , Adeniran D. ,

Chances of winning


Barnet
49.2%
Draw
26.8%
Grimsby Town
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 26.1% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 25.3% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barnet's performance.
  • Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grimsby Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnet that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grimsby Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Barnet - Grimsby Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.21)
    3.8
    (3.58)
    4.41
    (2.95)
    -1.8%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Barnet - Grimsby Town?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Barnet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Inactive) Gilsenan Z. (Inactive) Lavelle S. (Calf Injury) Svanthorsson J. (Knee Injury) Tharme D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Rose D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 1.6:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.5:1.8).
    Latest results of Barnet
    13.09.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Barnet 1:2
    06.09.2025 Barnet - Shrewsbury Town 1:3
    02.09.2025 Luton Town - Barnet 4:1
    30.08.2025 Barnet - Colchester United 1:1
    23.08.2025 Cheltenham Town - Barnet 0:1
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gillingham963015:6921
    2Salford961216:11519
    3Walsall961212:7519
    4Swindon960319:13618
    5Chesterfield943214:12215
    6Grimsby943214:12215
    7Notts Co942316:10614
    8Bromley935114:10414
    9Cambridge Utd942311:9214
    10Bristol Rovers942310:10014
    11Oldham93428:5313
    12Crewe941412:10213
    13Barnet941411:11013
    14MK Dons933314:9512
    15Fleetwood933311:12-112
    16Harrogate932410:12-211
    17Tranmere823313:1219
    18Accrington82336:8-29
    19Barrow93067:11-49
    20Colchester91538:10-28
    21Crawley92257:15-88
    22Newport91269:16-75
    23Shrewsbury91266:18-125
    24Cheltenham91173:17-144

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League