Result
0:3
19/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 6
- Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (342/407) | 89% (430/484) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 25 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (342/407) | 89% (430/484) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (22/45) | 61% (38/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (62/108) | 77% (62/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (2/24) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.76 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 2', 0 - 1, Bobichon A. ⚽, Dong K. (A),
- 5', Karamoko S. 🟨,
- 31', Briancon A. ↓, Kante ↑,
- 34', Bultel J. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 2, Bobichon A. ⚽, Versini G. (A),
- 43', 0 - 3, Versini G. ⚽, Meddah D. (A),
- 45+1', Martin J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Martin J. ↓, Raillot L. ↑,
- 56', Kouassi E. 🟨,
- 58', Bultel J. ↓, Duflos S. ↑,
- 59', Mpembele Boula E. ↓, El Farissi A. ↑,
- 65', Messi R. ↓, Zuliani E. ↑,
- 65', Dong K. ↓, Gasnier K. ↑,
- 65', Glossoa N. ↓, Lebouath S. ↑,
- 75', Fatar N. ↓, Fatou C. ↑,
- 75', Gourville S. ↓, Thiam D. ↑,
- 82', Versini G. ↓, Sadik O. ↑,
- 87', Lebouath S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Boulogne
36.5% | Draw
29.8% | Pau
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boulogne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boulogne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Boulogne - Pau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.3) |
3.17 ↓
(3.46) |
2.83 ↓
(3.04) |
5.9%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Boulogne - Pau?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Pau will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 9.6% – 70.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 1.
- Recent form of Boulogne has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pau's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Boulogne: Kitenge C.
(Inactive)
Lenogue X.
(Inactive)
Toure H.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Kalulu J.
(Red Card)
Lebouath S.
(Inactive)
Pouilly T.
(Red Card)
Sadik O.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boulogne won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Boulogne won against Pau?
Boulogne has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Boulogne?
Pau has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boulogne - Pau were as follows:
Latest results of Boulogne
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St Etienne | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:7 | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Red Star | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Troyes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Pau FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Amiens | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Clermont | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Annecy | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Reims | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Nancy | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Rodez | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Laval | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Guingamp | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Dunkerque | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Boulogne | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | Bastia | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
