Boulogne vs Pau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
19/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 6
  • Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.171.16
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
410
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
60
Passes
84% (342/407)89% (430/484)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.171.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.021.24
Total shots
410
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
27
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
60
Touches in opposition box
1725
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1225
Passes
84% (342/407)89% (430/484)
Long passes
49% (22/45)61% (38/62)
Passes in final third
57% (62/108)77% (62/81)
Crosses
8% (2/24)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.311.01
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
2512
Tackles
68% (13/19)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4563
Clearances
723
Interceptions
38
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
1.240.02
Goals prevented
-1.760.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Bobichon A. , Dong K. (A),
  • 5', Karamoko S. 🟨,
  • 31', Briancon A. , Kante ,
  • 34', Bultel J. 🟨,
  • 36', 0 - 2, Bobichon A. , Versini G. (A),
  • 43', 0 - 3, Versini G. , Meddah D. (A),
  • 45+1', Martin J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Martin J. , Raillot L. ,
  • 56', Kouassi E. 🟨,
  • 58', Bultel J. , Duflos S. ,
  • 59', Mpembele Boula E. , El Farissi A. ,
  • 65', Messi R. , Zuliani E. ,
  • 65', Dong K. , Gasnier K. ,
  • 65', Glossoa N. , Lebouath S. ,
  • 75', Fatar N. , Fatou C. ,
  • 75', Gourville S. , Thiam D. ,
  • 82', Versini G. , Sadik O. ,
  • 87', Lebouath S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Boulogne
36.5%
Draw
29.8%
Pau
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 27.5% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 27.8% 30.9%

Boulogne - Pau Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.56
(2.3)
3.17
(3.46)
2.83
(3.04)
5.9%
(5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Boulogne - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Pau will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 9.6%70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Pau (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Pau (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Pau (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 1.
    • Recent form of Boulogne has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Pau's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Pau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Boulogne: Kitenge C. (Inactive) Lenogue X. (Inactive) Toure H. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J. (Inactive) Kalulu J. (Red Card) Lebouath S. (Inactive) Pouilly T. (Red Card) Sadik O. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boulogne won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
    Latest results of Boulogne
    16.09.2025 Boulogne - Bastia 1:0
    12.09.2025 Boulogne - Laval 1:2
    29.08.2025 Rodez - Boulogne 1:0
    23.08.2025 Boulogne - Saint-Étienne 0:1
    15.08.2025 Nancy - Boulogne 1:0
    Latest results of Pau
    12.09.2025 Pau - Red Star 0:3
    29.08.2025 Nancy - Pau 2:2
    25.08.2025 Pau - Reims 2:0
    15.08.2025 Bastia - Pau 1:1
    09.08.2025 Pau - Annecy 2:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes21125433:201341
    2Reims21115537:231438
    3Le Mans21108326:18838
    4Red Star21107430:191137
    5St Etienne21104736:27934
    6Dunkerque2196635:231233
    7Guingamp2195733:33032
    8Annecy2194827:21631
    9Montpellier2194824:21331
    10Pau FC2187630:33-331
    11Rodez2169626:29-327
    12Grenoble2167823:28-525
    13Boulogne21651022:31-923
    14Clermont2157921:26-522
    15Nancy21641118:29-1122
    16Amiens21541223:32-919
    17Laval21371114:29-1516
    18Bastia21361211:27-1615

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National