Result
1:1
16/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 35 Sports |
Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
Serbia | SportKlub 3 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
Ukraine | Sport 2 |
World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.24 | 0.49 |
Ball Possession |
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46% | 54% |
Total shots |
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17 | 7 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 1 |
Passes |
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81% (342/424) | 86% (439/513) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.24 | 0.49 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.14 | 1.01 |
Total shots |
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17 | 7 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
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9 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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12 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
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5 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
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41 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 1 |
Offsides |
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0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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7 | 7 |
Passes |
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81% (342/424) | 86% (439/513) |
Long passes |
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42% (22/53) | 49% (32/65) |
Passes in final third |
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62% (81/130) | 72% (79/109) |
Crosses |
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19% (5/27) | 25% (3/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.99 | 0.61 |
Throw-ins |
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19 | 22 |
Fouls |
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7 | 7 |
Tackles |
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53% (8/15) | 50% (5/10) |
Duels won |
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50 | 29 |
Clearances |
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18 | 45 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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1.01 | 1.14 |
Goals prevented |
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0.01 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
- 46', Jeong Seung-Won ↓, Moon Seon-Min ↑,
- 59', 0 - 1, Dugandzic M. ⚽, Lingard J. (A),
- 63', Mae H. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
- 63', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Nishimura T. ↑,
- 73', Lucas Silva ↓, Anderson Oliveira ↑,
- 73', Dugandzic M. ↓, Cho Young-Wook ↑,
- 76', Lee Seung-Mo ↓, Hwang Do-Yun ↑,
- 80', 1 - 1, Mochizuki H. ⚽,
- 83', Dresevic I. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
- 83', Soma Y. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
- 85', Lingard J. ↓, Cheon Seong-Hoon ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/48zztevs
Chances of winning
Machida Zelvia 60.8% | Draw 22.5% | FC Seoul 16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Machida Zelvia's performance.FC Seoul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FC Seoul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Machida Zelvia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FC Seoul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Machida Zelvia - FC Seoul Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.55 ↓ (1.93) |
4.21 ↑ (3.75) |
5.66 ↑ (3.76) |
5.8% (5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - FC Seoul?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Seoul (votes: 3 - 75%).
Users Predictions:
Machida Zelvia will win
(20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Machida Zelvia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Seoul's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Seoul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Machida Zelvia is the team to beat.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against FC Seoul?
Machida Zelvia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FC Seoul won against Machida Zelvia?
FC Seoul has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - FC Seoul were as follows:
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Latest results of FC Seoul
AFC Champions League Table
League phaseEast | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Buriram | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Ulsan HD | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Gangwon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Seoul | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Machida | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
9 | Johor DT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
10 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
11 | Melbourne City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
12 | Shanghai Port | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
West | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Al Ahli SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
2 | Al Sharjah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
3 | Al Wahda | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Al Hilal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Al-Sadd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
6 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Al Shorta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Tractor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Al-Gharafa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 0 |
10 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
11 | Al-Duhail | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
12 | Nasaf Qarshi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)