Result
1:2
06/04/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 27
- Referee: Lezny S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Los K. 🟨,
- 31', Adkonis J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 56', Korczakowski I. ↓, Szczepaniak M. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 1, Wlazlo P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 76', Olewinski O. ↓, Jedrasik J. ↑,
- 76', Gieroba S. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
- 79', Wlazlo P. ↓, Tsykalo Y. ↑,
- 79', Odolak K. ↓, Lukic D. ↑,
- 79', Kruszelnicki P. ↓, Gerbowski F. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Los K. ⚽, Lis J. (A),
- 82', Cybulski K. ↓, Kowalski J. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Tsykalo Y. ⚽, Puerto I. (A),
- 85', Adamczyk H. ↓, Jaron D. ↑,
- 85', Konstantyn J. ↓, Niewiadomski J. ↑,
- 87', Farbiszewski B. 🟨,
- 88', Nunez C. ↓, Domanski M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
41.4% | Draw
26.2% | Stal Mielec
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's form might have worsened.Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stal Mielec's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stal Mielec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Stal Mielec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(1.81) |
3.58 ↑
(3.33) |
2.9 ↓
(3.62) |
7.4%
(12.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Stal Mielec?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Stal Mielec will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grodzisk Mazowiecki: 35% – 88%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Stal Mielec (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Stal Mielec (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion MZOS Znicz.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Grodzisk Mazowiecki is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki won against Stal Mielec?
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
Stal Mielec has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Stal Mielec were as follows:
19.09.2025
Stal Mielec
-
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1:2
Latest results of Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 30 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 65:31 | 34 | 59 |
| 2 | Slask Wroclaw | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 60:44 | 16 | 54 |
| 3 | Wieczysta Krakow | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 60:43 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Chrobry Glogow | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 41:29 | 12 | 48 |
| 5 | Polonia Warszawa | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 46:43 | 3 | 47 |
| 6 | Ruch Chorzow | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 44:42 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | LKS Lodz | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 44:42 | 2 | 44 |
| 8 | Grodzisk M | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 47:44 | 3 | 43 |
| 9 | Legnica | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 47:50 | -3 | 43 |
| 10 | Puszcza | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 41:37 | 4 | 42 |
| 11 | Polonia Bytom | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 47:40 | 7 | 41 |
| 12 | S. Rzeszow | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 42:49 | -7 | 39 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 38 |
| 14 | Pogon Siedlce | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | -1 | 36 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 43:58 | -15 | 29 |
| 16 | Leczna | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 37:51 | -14 | 27 |
| 17 | Pruszkow | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 34:58 | -24 | 25 |
| 18 | Tychy | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 35:64 | -29 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2
