Result
0:1
16/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy
- Referee: Massey-Ellis R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (197/268) | 87% (519/598) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (197/268) | 87% (519/598) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/58) | 60% (34/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (38/69) | 71% (122/171) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 15% (4/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (17/23) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Kellyman O. ↓, Perrett T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Davies I. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
- 46', Lawlor D. ↓, Fish W. ↑,
- 46', Cole R. ↓, Brierley E. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 1, Robinson C. ⚽, Ashford C. (A),
- 59', Yfeko J. ↓, Woodhouse L. ↑,
- 59', Andrew D. ↓, Rydel R. ↑,
- 72', Osho G. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
- 74', Kpakio R. 🟨,
- 74', McMillan J. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
- 74', Wilson K. ↓, Oluwabori A. ↑,
- 78', Robinson C. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
- 86', Fitzwater J. 🟨,
- 89', Sweeney P. 🟨,
- 89', Ashford C. 🟨,
- 90+4', Turnbull D. 🟨,
- 90+6', Ashford C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Exeter City
23.3% | Draw
24.9% | Cardiff City
51.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Exeter City - Cardiff City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4 ↑
(3.68) |
3.69 ↑
(3.55) |
1.78 ↓
(1.85) |
8.4%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Exeter City - Cardiff City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cardiff City will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Exeter have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cardiff is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cardiff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cardiff is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Exeter won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Cardiff City?
Exeter City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Exeter City?
Cardiff City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Cardiff City were as follows:
Latest results of Exeter City
Latest results of Cardiff City
English EFL Trophy Table
2025/26Group 1 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stockport County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 2 | Salford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Wolves U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 4 | Wigan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Blackpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Tranmere | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 3 | Nottingham U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 4 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Doncaster | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 | Everton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Manchester Utd U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Manchester City U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Bolton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Rotherham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 4 | Oldham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Huddersfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Mansfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 4 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | 0 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Port Vale | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Fleetwood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 3 | Accrington | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 4 | Leeds U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Burton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Liverpool U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:7 | 0 |
Group 9 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Newport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Arsenal U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
Group 10 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Plymouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 |
| 3 | Tottenham U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 1 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Group 11 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Northampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Chelsea U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
Group 12 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Swindon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Reading | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
Group 13 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stevenage | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 3 | Bromley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | 1 |
Group 14 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Crawley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Aston Villa U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 4 | Peterborough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
Group 15 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gillingham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Colchester | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Wycombe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
Group 16 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Luton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Brighton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Barnet | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
