Result
1:1
23/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4 |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5, Nova Sports Start |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Sports 2 |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 2 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (353/427) | 79% (318/402) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (353/427) | 79% (318/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (20/48) | 46% (23/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (73/99) | 67% (72/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 48% (12/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2', Barzic M. 🟨,
- 16', Al Amin H. 🟨,
- 24', Chacon L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Doue M. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
- 46', Jakobsen A. ↓, Fadel I. ↑,
- 47', Barri 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 0, Camara O. ⚽, Suero I. (A),
- 57', Al Amin H. ↓, Tresaco R. ↑,
- 57', Ojeda T. ↓, Diallo Selu M. ↑,
- 73', Santiago P. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
- 75', Calero I. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
- 75', Radoja N. ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
- 79', Ruiz S. ↓, Brignani F. ↑,
- 80', Rodri Suarez 🟨,
- 82', Ribeiro L. ↓, Sobrino R. ↑,
- 83', Maestre S. 🟨,
- 88', Fadel I. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 1, Chacon L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+1', Alcazar L. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 90+5', Calatrava A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4dayrk7u
Chances of winning
Castellón
68.4% | Draw
18.3% | Leonesa
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-15.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castellón that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Castellón - Leonesa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.42) |
5.09 ↑
(4.98) |
7.04 ↑
(6.53) |
6.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Castellón - Leonesa?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 27 - 79.4%). Leonesa will win (votes: 3 - 8.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 65.8% – 93%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- AH -1.5 - Castellón (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Leonesa (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Castellón will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 3 - 75%). Leonesa (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 and 22 in the zone Relegation).
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Leonesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Castellón is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
Mellot J.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Leonesa: Ribeiro L.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Leonesa: Radoja N.
(Knock)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Castellón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Leonesa?
Castellón has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leonesa won against Castellón?
Leonesa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Leonesa were as follows:
20.09.2025
Leonesa
-
Castellón
1:3
Latest results of Castellón
Latest results of Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 75:55 | 20 | 69 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 59:41 | 18 | 68 |
| 3 | Almeria | 37 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 74:56 | 18 | 67 |
| 4 | Castellon | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 65:48 | 17 | 64 |
| 5 | Malaga | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 66:49 | 17 | 63 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 37 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 49:31 | 18 | 63 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 44:33 | 11 | 61 |
| 8 | Eibar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:36 | 11 | 61 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 54:56 | -2 | 57 |
| 10 | Andorra | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 55 |
| 11 | Gijon | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 50:47 | 3 | 52 |
| 12 | Ceuta | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 44:57 | -13 | 51 |
| 13 | Albacete | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 49:51 | -2 | 50 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 48 |
| 15 | Valladolid | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 40:48 | -8 | 43 |
| 16 | Leganes | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 41:46 | -5 | 42 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad B | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 46:54 | -8 | 41 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Huesca | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 37:55 | -18 | 36 |
| 20 | Mirandes | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 40:60 | -20 | 36 |
| 21 | Zaragoza | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33:51 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 35:62 | -27 | 33 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
