Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 5
- Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 GOLD Israel |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (313/384) | 77% (278/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (313/384) | 77% (278/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (22/47) | 53% (29/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (52/79) | 59% (60/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 55% (12/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', Zuelli E. 🟨,
- 15', 0 - 1, Zanon S. ⚽, Zuelli E. (A),
- 19', Pagliuca G. 🟨,
- 33', Ghion A. 🟨,
- 40', Carboni F. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Shpendi S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Bozhanaj K. 🟨,
- 56', Sekulov N. 🟨,
- 59', Carboni F. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
- 62', Bozhanaj K. ↓, Abiuso F. ↑,
- 63', Sekulov N. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
- 70', Calabrese N. ↓, Ruggeri F. ↑,
- 71', Saporiti E. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
- 71', Yepes G. ↓, Moruzzi B. ↑,
- 71', Shpendi S. ↓, Popov B. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Ceesay J. ⚽, Ignacchiti L. (A),
- 82', Guarino G. ↓, Curto M. ↑,
- 83', Cicconi M. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
- 83', Oliana F. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 2, Finotto M. ⚽, Abiuso F. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yck69tm8
Chances of winning
Empoli
55% | Draw
31.9% | Carrarese
13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Empoli - Carrarese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.08) |
3.66 ↑
(3.33) |
10.07 ↑
(3.48) |
-13.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Empoli - Carrarese?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Carrarese will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 17% – 68.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Empoli is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Carrarese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Carrarese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Empoli is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Empoli: Bianchi F.
(Inactive)
Degli Innocenti D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Haas N.
(Knee Injury)
Nasti M.
(Inactive)
Pellegri P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Carrarese: Belloni N.
(Inactive)
Mazzini S.
(Shoulder Injury)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Carrarese?
Empoli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Empoli?
Carrarese has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Carrarese were as follows:
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Frosinone | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 34:16 | 18 | 38 |
| 2 | Monza | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 3 | Venezia | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31:14 | 17 | 35 |
| 4 | Palermo | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 28:13 | 15 | 33 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26:19 | 7 | 31 |
| 6 | Cesena | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 31 |
| 7 | Modena | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 26:15 | 11 | 29 |
| 8 | Juve Stabia | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 9 | Empoli | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25:24 | 1 | 24 |
| 10 | Padova | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
| 11 | Avellino | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 21:30 | -9 | 22 |
| 12 | Reggiana | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Carrarese | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 24:29 | -5 | 20 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 17 |
| 15 | Spezia | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 17 |
| 16 | Bari | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16:28 | -12 | 17 |
| 17 | Sudtirol | 18 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 16 |
| 18 | Entella | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 16 |
| 19 | Mantova | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Pescara | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 23:35 | -12 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
