Result
3:1
14/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 16
- Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (249/338) | 77% (298/385) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.77 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (249/338) | 77% (298/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (32/61) | 45% (28/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (47/87) | 67% (78/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 23% (7/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 2.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Hasa L. ↓, Zuelli E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Rubino T. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
- 52', Marconi I. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 0, Schiavi N. ⚽,
- 57', Di Mario S. 🟨,
- 59', Portanova D. 🟨,
- 63', Russo F. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
- 63', Karic N. ↓, Guiu B. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 0, Ruggeri F. ⚽, Abiuso F. (A),
- 73', 3 - 0, Abiuso F. ⚽, Zuelli E. (A),
- 74', Fumagalli T. ↓, Nichetti M. ↑,
- 74', Dalla Vecchia M. ↓, Franzoni A. ↑,
- 74', Marconi I. ↓, Tiritiello A. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 1, Debenedetti A. ⚽, Franzoni A. (A),
- 83', Abiuso F. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
- 83', Zanon S. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
- 86', Illanes J. 🟨,
- 90', Schiavi N. ↓, Parlanti G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Carrarese
42.6% | Draw
30.8% | Virtus Entella
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carrarese's performance.Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus Entella might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Entella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Carrarese - Virtus Entella Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.49) |
3.02 ↓
(3.23) |
3.52 ↑
(2.78) |
6.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Carrarese - Virtus Entella?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Virtus Entella will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carrarese: 42% – 87.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Carrarese (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 2.
- Recent form of Carrarese has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Virtus Entella's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Carrarese: Salamon B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Virtus Entella: Del Lungo T.
(Inactive)
Parodi L.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Virtus Entella: Franzoni A.
(Inactive)
Tiritiello A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carrarese won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Virtus Entella?
Carrarese has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Entella won against Carrarese?
Virtus Entella has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Virtus Entella were as follows:
28.07.2024
Virtus Entella
-
Carrarese
0:0
10.02.2024
Virtus Entella
-
Carrarese
1:3
30.09.2023
Carrarese
-
Virtus Entella
2:0
22.01.2023
Virtus Entella
-
Carrarese
4:0
05.10.2022
Virtus Entella
-
Carrarese
2:1
Latest results of Carrarese
Latest results of Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 68:29 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 53:27 | 26 | 69 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 53:42 | 11 | 55 |
| 6 | Modena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 46:31 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Cesena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Mantova | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 | Avellino | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 43:49 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Entella | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Bari | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:53 | -20 | 34 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 19 | Pescara | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47:61 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Spezia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32:51 | -19 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
