Result
0:1
21/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 26
- Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (261/343) | 81% (349/429) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (261/343) | 81% (349/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (30/62) | 45% (27/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (54/84) | 72% (109/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.91 | 0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Delli Carri F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 1, Hernani ⚽,
- 56', Parlanti G. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
- 56', Zanon S. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
- 67', Mota D. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
- 67', Obiang P. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
- 68', Ciurria P. ↓, Bakoune A. ↑,
- 73', Finotto M. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
- 79', Calabro A. 🟨,
- 81', Calabrese N. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
- 81', Hasa L. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
- 85', Delli Carri F. ↓, Brorsson A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Carrarese
25.2% | Draw
28.4% | Monza
46.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Carrarese - Monza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.71 ↓
(3.79) |
3.3 ↑
(3.22) |
2.02 ↑
(1.97) |
6.7%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Carrarese - Monza?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Carrarese (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Monza will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carrarese (votes: 1 - 50%). Monza (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Carrarese is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Monza is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Monza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F.
(Inactive)
Bouah D.
(Inactive)
Salamon B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Monza: Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Galazzi N.
(Inactive)
Maric M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Carrarese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Monza?
Carrarese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Carrarese?
Monza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Monza were as follows:
20.12.2025
Monza
-
Carrarese
4:1
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
