Zagłębie Lubin vs Arka Gdynia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
29/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 10
  • Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.44
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
76% (238/315)84% (411/491)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.44
xG on target (xGOT)
2.580.04
Total shots
99
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1615
Passes
76% (238/315)84% (411/491)
Long passes
50% (28/56)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
50% (33/66)68% (102/150)
Crosses
50% (5/10)0% (0/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.90
Throw-ins
1219
Fouls
1516
Tackles
50% (7/14)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5646
Clearances
3414
Interceptions
615
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.042.58
Goals prevented
-0.96-1.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Radwanski A. , Corluka J. (A),
  • 7', 2 - 0, Rocha L. , Szmyt K. (A),
  • 26', Nguiamba A. 🟨,
  • 33', 3 - 0, Nalepa M. , Radwanski A. (A),
  • 36', Celestine J. 🟨,
  • 44', 4 - 0, Radwanski A. , Rocha L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Abramowicz D. , Predenkiewicz M. ,
  • 46', Sidibe A. , Kerk S. ,
  • 46', Celestine J. , Hermoso K. ,
  • 46', Szysz P. , Rusyn N. ,
  • 58', Kerk S. 🟨,
  • 67', Regula M. , Wdowiak M. ,
  • 67', Rocha L. , Kosidis M. ,
  • 78', Lawniczak A. , Yakuba R. ,
  • 78', Radwanski A. , Dziewiatowski M. ,
  • 81', Nguiamba A. , Perea L. ,
  • 89', Szmyt K. , Sypek J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Zagłębie Lubin
59.4%
Draw
24.2%
Arka Gdynia
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 27% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 26% 26.4%

Zagłębie Lubin - Arka Gdynia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.85
(2.05)
4.91
(3.47)
7.65
(3.41)
-12.3%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Arka Gdynia?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Arka will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Zagłębie Lubin: 59.8%94.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Zagłębie Lubin will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Zagłębie Lubin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M. (Broken Leg)
    • There will not play in Arka: Gojny D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.6:0.4).
    Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock1879221:12930
    2Gornik Zabrze1893629:24530
    3Jagiellonia1785429:21829
    4Rakow1892726:23329
    5Zaglebie1877431:24728
    6Cracovia1876525:21427
    7Radomiak Radom1875635:30526
    8Lech Poznan1768329:26326
    9Korona Kielce1866621:19224
    10Pogon Szczecin1863928:32-421
    11Motor Lublin1849523:28-521
    12Arka Gdynia1863915:32-1721
    13Lechia Gdansk1874737:37020
    14Piast Gliwice1755719:19020
    15Widzew Lodz18621026:28-220
    16GKS Katowice1762923:28-520
    17Legia1847719:21-219
    18Termalica B-B1854924:35-1119

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1