Result
3:1
29/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 7
- Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Asia | TOD |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 0.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (267/347) | 84% (400/477) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.80 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (267/347) | 84% (400/477) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (17/56) | 50% (34/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (52/80) | 63% (72/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 2.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.88 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Rafa Silva ⚽, Abraham T. (A),
- 10', 2 - 0, Cerny V. ⚽,
- 10', Jovanovic A. 🟨,
- 45', Inan S. 🟨,
- 45+2', Degirmenci G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Churlinov D. ↓, Serbest T. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 1, Bingol T. ⚽, Keita H. (A),
- 55', Abraham T. ↓, Jota Silva ↑,
- 55', Sazdagi G. 🟨,
- 64', Rivas R. 🟨,
- 70', Keita H. ↓, Nonge J. ↑,
- 77', Cerny V. ↓, Under C. ↑,
- 78', Rivas R. ↓, Keles C. ↑,
- 79', Ndidi W. ↓, Kayra Yilmaz K. ↑,
- 79', Bingol T. ↓, Agyei D. ↑,
- 86', Balogh B. ↓, Dursun S. ↑,
- 89', Rafa Silva ↓, Hekimoglu M. ↑,
- 90', Dursun S. 🟨,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, Syrota O. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Beşiktaş
79% | Draw
12.4% | Kocaelispor
8.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beşiktaş's performance.Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-32.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beşiktaş that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kocaelispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Beşiktaş - Kocaelispor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.4) |
9 ↑
(4.59) |
13.26 ↑
(7.29) |
-3.4%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Beşiktaş - Kocaelispor?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Beşiktaş will win (votes: 28 - 96.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 90% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Beşiktaş will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
- Beşiktaş has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kocaelispor's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Kocaelispor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Beşiktaş is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Beşiktaş: Bulut T.
(Inactive)
Cerny V.
(Inactive)
Djalo T.
(Inactive)
Hekimoglu M.
(Muscle Injury)
Jota Silva
(Inactive)
Toure E. B.
(Inactive)
Ucan S.
(Inactive)
Under C.
(Inactive)
Yilmaz R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Kocaelispor: Wieteska M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Svensson J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kocaelispor: Sagat A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Beşiktaş won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1.
- Including home match between the teams, Beşiktaş won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Beşiktaş won against Kocaelispor?
Beşiktaş has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kocaelispor won against Beşiktaş?
Kocaelispor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Beşiktaş - Kocaelispor were as follows:
Latest results of Beşiktaş
Latest results of Kocaelispor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:2 | 17 | 21 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Goztepe | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Besiktas | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Samsunspor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Gaziantep | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Konyaspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Antalyaspor | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Kasimpasa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Rizespor | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Basaksehir | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Kayserispor | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:17 | -12 | 5 |
| 16 | Genclerbirligi | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Karagumruk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7:16 | -9 | 3 |
| 18 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
