Result
4:1
24/08/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (334/409) | 83% (343/415) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (334/409) | 83% (343/415) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/59) | 40% (17/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (42/65) | 68% (65/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -1.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Rodriguez M. ⚽, El Karouani S. (A),
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Min D. ⚽, El Karouani S. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', van der Hoorn M. ↓, Viergever N. ↑,
- 58', 3 - 0, Jensen V. ⚽, El Karouani S. (A),
- 60', van Duinen M. ↓, Wlodarczyk S. ↑,
- 61', Martens N. ↓, Bronkhorst I. ↑,
- 61', Engwanda A. ↓, van Ommeren J. ↑,
- 67', 4 - 0, Jensen V. ⚽, Blake A. (A),
- 68', Min D. ↓, Haller S. ↑,
- 68', Zechiel G. ↓, van den Berg D. ↑,
- 71', Yegoian I. ↓, Booth Z. ↑,
- 71', Naujoks N. ↓, Meissen R. ↑,
- 76', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Yoon D. ↑,
- 79', Rodriguez M. ↓, Jonathans M. ↑,
- 83', 4 - 1, Yoon D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Utrecht
65.7% | Draw
19.7% | Excelsior
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Utrecht - Excelsior Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.53) |
4.78 ↑
(4.39) |
6.45 ↑
(5.2) |
5.7%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Utrecht - Excelsior?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Excelsior will win (votes: 1 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 36%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 40.8% – 79.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 2.
- Utrecht is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Excelsior's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Utrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Excelsior has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Utrecht is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Utrecht: El Arguioui R.
(Knee Injury)
Iqbal Z.
(Knee Injury)
Jenner I.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Excelsior: Bergraaf J.
(Inactive)
Hartjes L.
(Knee Injury)
Schouten L.
(Inactive)
Tielemans M.
(Inactive)
van Gassel S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Utrecht: Mukeh J.
(Injury)
- We predict that Utrecht will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:19. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Excelsior?
Utrecht has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Utrecht?
Excelsior has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - Excelsior were as follows:
27.01.2024
Excelsior
-
Utrecht
1:1
12.11.2023
Utrecht
-
Excelsior
2:2
25.01.2023
Utrecht
-
Excelsior
1:0
02.10.2022
Excelsior
-
Utrecht
0:1
Latest results of Utrecht
Latest results of Excelsior
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 17 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 52:21 | 31 | 46 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 42:21 | 21 | 35 |
| 3 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 32:22 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 43:29 | 14 | 29 |
| 5 | Groningen | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 27 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 31:28 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Twente | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 25 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 23 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 29:26 | 3 | 23 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 18:31 | -13 | 23 |
| 11 | Sittard | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Excelsior | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 16:27 | -11 | 19 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 26:29 | -3 | 19 |
| 14 | Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 21:38 | -17 | 19 |
| 15 | Telstar | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20:27 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 |
| 17 | Heracles | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 14 |
| 18 | NAC Breda | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16:26 | -10 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
