Result
5:0
26/04/2026 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 31
- Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.32 | 0.84 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (459/529) | 77% (277/360) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.32 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (459/529) | 77% (277/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (41/64) | 37% (22/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (97/123) | 45% (25/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | -2.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Naujoks N. ⚽, Sanches Fernandes D. (A),
- 29', Didden M. 🟨,
- 31', Didden M. 🟨,
- 36', 2 - 0, Sanches Fernandes D. ⚽, de Regt G. (A),
- 41', Stepanov A. ↓, Horemans S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', El Karouani S. ↓, Adiele E. ↑,
- 55', 3 - 0, Sanches Fernandes D. ⚽, Zagre A. (A),
- 63', Hansson E. ↓, Wlodarczyk S. ↑,
- 64', Zechiel G. 🟨,
- 69', 4 - 0, Yegoian I. ⚽,
- 72', Zechiel G. ↓, Bozdogan C. ↑,
- 76', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Carlen A. ↑,
- 76', Yegoian I. ↓, Bronkhorst I. ↑,
- 80', Alarcon A. ↓, Min D. ↑,
- 80', Cathline Y. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
- 85', Naujoks N. ↓, Janssen S. ↑,
- 85', Meissen R. ↓, Cairo G. ↑,
- 90+3', 5 - 0, Hartjes L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Excelsior
29.1% | Draw
26.7% | Utrecht
44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Excelsior - Utrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.25 ↑
(3.06) |
3.56 ↑
(3.53) |
2.15 ↓
(2.23) |
5.5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Excelsior - Utrecht?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Utrecht (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 0.
- Recent form of Excelsior has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Utrecht is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Utrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Utrecht is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Utrecht: Jensen V.
(Knee Injury)
Rodriguez M.
(Knee Injury)
van Ommeren J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Excelsior: Akujobi H.
(Knee Injury)
Jonathans M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:31. (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.4:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Utrecht?
Excelsior has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Excelsior?
Utrecht has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Utrecht were as follows:
24.08.2025
Utrecht
-
Excelsior
4:1
27.01.2024
Excelsior
-
Utrecht
1:1
12.11.2023
Utrecht
-
Excelsior
2:2
25.01.2023
Utrecht
-
Excelsior
1:0
02.10.2022
Excelsior
-
Utrecht
0:1
Latest results of Excelsior
Latest results of Utrecht
Draw
Relegation - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Roda | Waalwijk | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Willem II | |
| 3 | Den Bosch | Almere City | 0 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bye | De Graafschap | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Waalwijk | Willem II | |
| 2 | Almere City | De Graafschap | |
Semi-finalsFinal
