Result
2:2
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 9
- Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (351/439) | 84% (299/358) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (351/439) | 84% (299/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (38/76) | 56% (27/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (78/116) | 74% (73/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (10/26) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (19/25) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Adeline M. 🟨,
- 37', Yohou S. 🟨,
- 42', Gozzi P. 🟨,
- 44', Lemaitre N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 60', Rabillard A. ↓, Harhouz W. ↑,
- 60', Quarshie E. ↓, Lauray A. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 0, Harhouz W. ⚽,
- 69', Adeline M. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Bentayeb T. ⚽,
- 75', 1 - 2, Bentayeb T. ⚽, Assoumou J. (A),
- 77', Bentayeb T. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
- 79', Buades L. ↓, Oggad B. ↑,
- 79', Robin M. ↓, Guillaume B. ↑,
- 87', Assoumou J. ↓, Ouzenadji A. ↑,
- 87', Ifnaoui M. ↓, Gambor H. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Calodat L. ⚽, Gueye D. (A),
Chances of winning
Le Mans
29.5% | Draw
30.6% | Troyes
39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Le Mans - Troyes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.24 ↑
(3.04) |
3.04 ↓
(3.35) |
2.43 ↑
(2.32) |
4.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Le Mans - Troyes?
Users Predictions:
Troyes will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Troyes will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
- Le Mans has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Troyes is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Troyes might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Le Mans: Cisse A.
(Inactive)
Delbecque A.
(Inactive)
Luvambo T.
(Inactive)
Oggad B.
(Inactive)
Ribelin A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Troyes: Maronnier L.
(Inactive)
Phliponeau A.
(Muscle Injury)
Ripart R.
(Knee Injury)
Traore I.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Le Mans won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Mans won against Troyes?
Le Mans has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Le Mans?
Troyes has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Mans - Troyes were as follows:
Latest results of Le Mans
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Red Star | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Reims | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Guingamp | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 7 | Nancy | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Rodez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Le Mans | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Clermont | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Amiens | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Grenoble | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Annecy | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Laval | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
