Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 11
- Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (222/306) | 83% (423/510) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (222/306) | 83% (423/510) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (18/60) | 39% (21/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (43/75) | 70% (86/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 12% (3/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | -1.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Kerk S. ⚽, Navarro M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Aleksic M. ↓, Kameri D. ↑,
- 60', Maigaard M. ↓, Minchev M. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Kakabadze O. ⚽, Perkovic M. (A),
- 78', Rusyn N. ↓, Szysz P. ↑,
- 81', Klich M. ↓, Praszelik M. ↑,
- 83', Henriksson G. 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 1, Kerk S. ⚽,
- 90', Henriksson G. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
- 90', Perkovic M. ↓, Biedrzycki B. ↑,
- 90', Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↓, Sobczak S. ↑,
- 90', Kerk S. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
- 90+3', Sutalo B. 🟨,
- 90+8', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Predenkiewicz M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arka Gdynia
33.1% | Draw
32.1% | Cracovia
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Arka Gdynia - Cracovia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↑
(2.7) |
3.06 ↓
(3.3) |
2.88 ↑
(2.47) |
1.6%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Cracovia?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Arka (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cracovia will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cracovia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Arka (votes: 1 - 20%). Cracovia (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1.
- Recent performances by Arka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cracovia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cracovia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Arka: Gojny D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K.
(Knee Injury)
Hasic A.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Arka won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Cracovia?
Arka Gdynia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against Arka Gdynia?
Cracovia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Cracovia were as follows:
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Latest results of Cracovia
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 40:34 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31:29 | 2 | 34 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 30 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 37:34 | 3 | 29 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:45 | 1 | 28 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 21:38 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Legia | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 29:33 | -4 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
