Arka Gdynia vs Zagłębie Lubin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Miejski w Gdyni (Gdynia).

Ekstraklasa - Round 27
Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.83	0.83
Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
14	10
Shots on target
5	1
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
5	5
Passes
71% (221/313)	72% (211/294)
Yellow cards
3	3
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.83	0.83
xG on target (xGOT)
2.49	0.85
Total shots
14	10
Shots on target
5	1
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked shots
4	4
Shots inside the box
9	6
Shots outside the box
5	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
5	5
Touches in opposition box
24	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	0
Free kicks
15	13
Passes
71% (221/313)	72% (211/294)
Long passes
39% (21/54)	50% (28/56)
Passes in final third
58% (55/95)	58% (69/119)
Crosses
38% (5/13)	22% (7/32)
Expected assists (xA)
1.12	0.94
Throw ins
17	17
Fouls
13	15
Tackles
44% (4/9)	76% (13/17)
Duels won
65	61
Clearances
36	32
Interceptions
4	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.85	2.49
Goals prevented
-0.15	-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Kubiak O. ⚽,
23', Kowalczyk S. 🟨,
30', Nguiamba A. 🟨,
34', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
43', Nalepa M. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Kerk S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nguiamba A. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
46', Kolan J. ↓, Radwanski A. ↑,
46', Kowalczyk S. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
48', Nalepa M. 🟨,
52', 2 - 1, Szabo L. ⚽, Regula M. (A),
66', Corluka J. ↓, Ligocki J. ↑,
66', Szabo L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
72', Kocyla D. ↓, Szysz P. ↑,
72', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Rzuchowski M. ↑,
76', Rzuchowski M. 🟨,
78', 3 - 1, Gutkovskis V. ⚽, Szysz P. (A),
84', Regula M. ↓, Dziewiatowski M. ↑,
89', Gutkovskis V. ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
89', Kerk S. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Arka Gdynia
39.1%

Draw
30.6%

Zagłębie Lubin
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

29.7%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

30.6%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Arka Gdynia - Zagłębie Lubin Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.44)	3.07 ↓ (3.2)	3.1 ↑ (3.03)	6.6% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Zagłębie Lubin?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arka: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Arka will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Arka: Gaprindashvili T. (Yellow Cards) Perea L. (Inactive)
There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D. (Shoulder Injury) Lawniczak A. (Inactive)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Arka won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Zagłębie Lubin?

Arka Gdynia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Arka Gdynia?

Zagłębie Lubin has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:

29.09.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Arka Gdynia 4:0

Latest results of Arka Gdynia

22.03.2026 Korona Kielce - Arka Gdynia 3:0 ✺

15.03.2026 Arka Gdynia - Widzew Łódź 0:0 ✺

09.03.2026 Wisła Płock - Arka Gdynia 0:3 ✺

05.03.2026 Radomiak Radom - Arka Gdynia 3:1 ✺

27.02.2026 Arka Gdynia - Lechia Gdańsk 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin

20.03.2026 Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin 1:0 ✺

15.03.2026 Zagłębie Lubin - Lech Poznań 0:1 ✺

07.03.2026 Piast Gliwice - Zagłębie Lubin 1:3 ✺

02.03.2026 Zagłębie Lubin - Wisła Płock 2:0 ✺

23.02.2026 Lechia Gdańsk - Zagłębie Lubin 0:2 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	31	15	10	6	56:41	15	55
2	Gornik Zabrze	30	14	7	9	43:34	9	49
3	GKS Katowice	31	14	5	12	48:42	6	47
4	Jagiellonia	30	12	10	8	48:37	11	46
5	Rakow	30	13	7	10	43:37	6	46
6	Zaglebie	31	12	9	10	43:36	7	45
7	Wisla Plock	31	12	9	10	32:31	1	45
8	Pogon Szczecin	31	12	5	14	43:45	-2	41
9	Piast Gliwice	31	11	7	13	40:41	-1	40
10	Legia	31	9	13	9	35:36	-1	40
11	Radomiak Radom	30	10	10	10	46:43	3	40
12	Korona Kielce	31	10	9	12	38:37	1	39
13	Cracovia	31	9	12	10	35:38	-3	39
14	Motor Lublin	31	9	12	10	39:46	-7	39
15	Lechia Gdansk	30	12	7	11	57:54	3	38
16	Widzew Lodz	31	10	6	15	36:38	-2	36
17	Arka Gdynia	30	9	7	14	31:54	-23	34
18	Termalica B-B	31	7	7	17	37:60	-23	28

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1