Result
3:1
07/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 27
- Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (221/313) | 72% (211/294) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (221/313) | 72% (211/294) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (21/54) | 50% (28/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (55/95) | 58% (69/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 22% (7/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.94 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Kubiak O. ⚽,
- 23', Kowalczyk S. 🟨,
- 30', Nguiamba A. 🟨,
- 34', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
- 43', Nalepa M. 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 0, Kerk S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Nguiamba A. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
- 46', Kolan J. ↓, Radwanski A. ↑,
- 46', Kowalczyk S. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
- 48', Nalepa M. 🟨,
- 52', 2 - 1, Szabo L. ⚽, Regula M. (A),
- 66', Corluka J. ↓, Ligocki J. ↑,
- 66', Szabo L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
- 72', Kocyla D. ↓, Szysz P. ↑,
- 72', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Rzuchowski M. ↑,
- 76', Rzuchowski M. 🟨,
- 78', 3 - 1, Gutkovskis V. ⚽, Szysz P. (A),
- 84', Regula M. ↓, Dziewiatowski M. ↑,
- 89', Gutkovskis V. ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
- 89', Kerk S. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arka Gdynia
39.1% | Draw
30.6% | Zagłębie Lubin
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Arka Gdynia - Zagłębie Lubin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.44) |
3.07 ↓
(3.2) |
3.1 ↑
(3.03) |
6.6%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Zagłębie Lubin?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arka: 19.5% – 68.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Arka will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Arka: Gaprindashvili T.
(Yellow Cards)
Perea L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lawniczak A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Arka won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Arka Gdynia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Arka Gdynia?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:
29.09.2025
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Arka Gdynia
4:0
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 49:40 | 9 | 46 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Rakow | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 40 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Lechia Gdansk | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 55:51 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Legia | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 34 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:47 | -17 | 34 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:35 | -2 | 33 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
