Lens vs Paris FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Lens - Paris FC
Result
2:1
19/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 8
  • Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 5
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.52
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
81% (328/403)84% (478/567)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.761.04
Total shots
119
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
4514
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
811
Passes
81% (328/403)84% (478/567)
Long passes
61% (27/44)56% (29/52)
Passes in final third
71% (111/156)67% (47/70)
Crosses
31% (11/35)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.69
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
118
Tackles
83% (20/24)38% (5/13)
Duels won
5143
Clearances
1736
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.041.76
Goals prevented
0.04-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', Kebbal I. 🟨,
  • 9', Thauvin F. (Pen),
  • 11', Gilli S. 🟨,
  • 17', 1 - 0, Edouard O. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),
  • 27', 1 - 1, Lees-Melou P. ⚽, Kebbal I. (A),
  • 45+1', Thauvin F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', De Smet T. ↓, Sangui N. ↑,
  • 55', Traore H. 🟨,
  • 59', Edouard O. ↓, Said W. ↑,
  • 63', Simon M. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
  • 63', Krasso J. ↓, Geubbels W. ↑,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Baidoo S. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),
  • 72', Camara A. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
  • 72', Thauvin F. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
  • 73', Aguilar R. ↓, Abdulhamid S. ↑,
  • 82', Lees-Melou P. ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
  • 90', Sima A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Guilavogui M. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/56pfpm62

Chances of winning


Lens
51.8%		Draw
24.9%		Paris FC
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 24.7% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3% 24.2% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
    •

    Lens - Paris FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.86 ↑
    (1.85)    		 3.84 ↓
    (3.85)    		 4.13 ↑
    (3.97)    		 4%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lens - Paris FC?
  • Users Predictions: 94 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 75 - 79.8%). Paris FC will win (votes: 3 - 3.2%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 17%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 71.7% – 87.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lens will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 3.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • In this match, Lens is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Lens: Bermont A. (International duty) Ganiou I. (Red Card) Machado D. (Knee Injury) Sylla F. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Paris FC: Cafaro M. (Muscle Injury) Hamel P. (Hamstring Injury) Lopez J. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lens won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
    Latest results of Lens
    04.10.2025 Auxerre - Lens 1:2 ✺
    28.09.2025 Rennes - Lens 0:0 ✺
    20.09.2025 Lens - Lille 3:0 ✺
    14.09.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Lens 2:0 ✺
    29.08.2025 Lens - Brest 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Paris FC
    03.10.2025 Paris FC - Lorient 2:0 ✺
    28.09.2025 Nice - Paris FC 1:1 ✺
    21.09.2025 Paris FC - Strasbourg 2:3 ✺
    14.09.2025 Brest - Paris FC 1:2 ✺
    31.08.2025 Paris FC - Metz 3:2 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG962119:81120
    2Lens961214:8619
    3Marseille960322:91318
    4Monaco952218:13517
    5Strasbourg851217:10716
    6Lyon850311:8315
    7Lille842216:10614
    8Toulouse941415:13213
    9Rennes825111:12-111
    10Nice832312:14-211
    11Paris FC931514:17-310
    12Brest923414:17-39
    13Nantes92347:10-39
    14Lorient822412:19-78
    15Auxerre82157:12-57
    16Le Havre813410:16-66
    17Angers81344:12-86
    18Metz80265:20-152

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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