Result
1:1
23/01/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
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| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Beneit R. ⚽,
- 31', Bosch M. 🟨,
- 45+3', Pino Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Eimil V. ↓, Comparada Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 58', Ribeiro A. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
- 69', 🟥,
- 73', Artola J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 73', Martinez G. 🟨,
- 76', Dibrani B. ↓, Capitas M. ↑,
- 77', Resende J. ↓, Macias L. ↑,
- 78', Abelenda B. ↓, Gil A. ↑,
- 80', Martinez G. 🟨,
- 82', 🟨,
- 86', Artola J. ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
- 86', Solar M. ↓, Herranz Corral V. ↑,
- 86', Areso J. ↓, Pipe ↑,
- 87', Pipe 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Comparada Gonzalez A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mérida AD 38.9% | Draw 30.9% | Pontevedra 30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-1%)
Mérida AD - Pontevedra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.36 ↑ (2.24) |
2.94 ↓ (3.18) |
3.02 ↓ (3.16) |
9.7% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mérida AD - Pontevedra?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
- Mérida AD is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pontevedra is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mérida AD won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Mérida AD won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Pontevedra?
Mérida AD has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pontevedra won against Mérida AD?
Pontevedra has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - Pontevedra were as follows:
15.11.2025
Pontevedra
-
Mérida AD
1:1
15.04.2023
Pontevedra
-
Mérida AD
1:5
01.10.2022
Mérida AD
-
Pontevedra
2:0
Latest results of Mérida AD
Latest results of Pontevedra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 50:17 | 33 | 63 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 51 |
| 3 | Ath Bilbao B | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 44 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 44 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 43 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | Zamora | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 43 |
| 8 | Real Madrid B | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 40:38 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Lugo | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 28:28 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Racing Club Ferrol | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 34:33 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 38:39 | -1 | 41 |
| 12 | Unionistas | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 38:39 | -1 | 38 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 41:49 | -8 | 34 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 30:39 | -9 | 31 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 27:38 | -11 | 30 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26:37 | -11 | 26 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation