Mérida AD vs Pontevedra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
23/01/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+

Match Stats

Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
83
Shots on target
52
Corner kicks
53
Yellow cards
42
Red cards
11
Total shots
83
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
31
Corner kicks
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Beneit R. ,
  • 31', Bosch M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Pino Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Eimil V. , Comparada Gonzalez A. ,
  • 58', Ribeiro A. , Perez A. ,
  • 69', 🟥,
  • 73', Artola J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 73', Martinez G. 🟨,
  • 76', Dibrani B. , Capitas M. ,
  • 77', Resende J. , Macias L. ,
  • 78', Abelenda B. , Gil A. ,
  • 80', Martinez G. 🟨,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 86', Artola J. , Rivas M. ,
  • 86', Solar M. , Herranz Corral V. ,
  • 86', Areso J. , Pipe ,
  • 87', Pipe 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Comparada Gonzalez A. ,

Chances of winning


Mérida AD
38.9%
Draw
30.9%
Pontevedra
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 29.2% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 29.4% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Mérida AD - Pontevedra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (2.24)
    2.94
    (3.18)
    3.02
    (3.16)
    9.7%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Mérida AD - Pontevedra?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • Mérida AD is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Pontevedra is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mérida AD won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mérida AD won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - Pontevedra were as follows:
    15.11.2025 Pontevedra - Mérida AD 1:1
    15.04.2023 Pontevedra - Mérida AD 1:5
    01.10.2022 Mérida AD - Pontevedra 2:0
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    Latest results of Pontevedra
    17.01.2026 Pontevedra - Arenteiro 1:1
    10.01.2026 Real Avilés - Pontevedra 0:3
    03.01.2026 Pontevedra - Ferrol 2:1
    21.12.2025 Barakaldo - Pontevedra 0:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife29196450:173363
    2Celta Vigo B29149644:36851
    3Ath Bilbao B29128931:31044
    4Barakaldo291111738:29944
    5Pontevedra281013532:201243
    6Ponferradina291271031:24743
    7Zamora291110838:33543
    8Real Madrid B291271040:38243
    9Lugo291012728:28042
    10Racing Club Ferrol291261134:33142
    11AD Merida291181038:39-141
    12Unionistas291081138:39-138
    13Arenas Getxo281051332:39-735
    14Real Aviles29971341:49-834
    15Ourense CF29891231:33-233
    16Guadalajara29881331:42-1132
    17CF Talavera29871430:39-931
    18Cacereno296121127:38-1130
    19Arenteiro29681526:37-1126
    20Osasuna B29591518:34-1624

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