Mérida AD vs Osasuna B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
83
Corner kicks
86
Yellow cards
43
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
77
Corner kicks
86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 🟨,
  • 10', 🟨,
  • 25', 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Chiqui ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Capitas M. , Rivas M. ,
  • 62', Echegoyen M. , Arrasate I. ,
  • 63', Pedroarena M. , Arroyo R. ,
  • 63', Chiqui , Artola J. ,
  • 71', Lumbreras C. , Bonel A. ,
  • 78', Ruiz R. C. , Garin X. ,
  • 84', Dibrani B. , Miki ,
  • 85', Areso J. , Pareja L. ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 89', Martinez G. , Herranz Corral V. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+9', Rivas M. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Rivas M. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Mérida AD
54.1%
Draw
26.4%
Osasuna B
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 27.1% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 22% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • The chances for Osasuna B have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mérida AD that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Mérida AD - Osasuna B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.74)
    3.44
    (3.42)
    4.63
    (4.75)
    9.9%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mérida AD - Osasuna B?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Mérida AD is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Osasuna B is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Osasuna B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mérida AD is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    03.01.2026 Lugo - Mérida AD 1:0
    07.12.2025 Mérida AD - Ourense CF 3:2
    29.11.2025 Ferrol - Mérida AD 2:2
    Latest results of Osasuna B
    04.01.2026 Osasuna B - Tenerife 0:2
    21.12.2025 Arenteiro - Osasuna B 2:0
    13.12.2025 Osasuna B - Lugo 0:0
    07.12.2025 CD Guadalajara - Osasuna B 1:0
    30.11.2025 Osasuna B - Zamora 1:3
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife352110457:203773
    2Celta Vigo B351710856:441261
    3Zamora351610949:381158
    4Real Madrid B351681155:431256
    5Pontevedra351315743:261754
    6Ponferradina351491238:32651
    7Barakaldo3513121044:36851
    8Unionistas3513101247:45249
    9AD Merida341391244:47-348
    10Racing Club Ferrol351381438:43-547
    11Arenas Getxo351451641:51-1047
    12Lugo3411131032:37-546
    13Ath Bilbao B341291334:38-445
    14Real Aviles3511101451:58-743
    15CF Talavera351091635:44-939
    16Ourense CF349111438:40-238
    17Guadalajara359101639:54-1537
    18Osasuna B35991725:39-1436
    19Cacereno347141331:45-1435
    20Arenteiro34691929:46-1727

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation