Result
1:0
16/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3, VOOsport World 1 |
 Bolivia | ESPN 4 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Bulgaria | BTV Action, Voyo |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Ecuador | ESPN 4 |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, New World TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8 |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Macao | TDM TV |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 4 |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 3 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Paraguay | ESPN 4 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | JOJ Play, JOJ Sport |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Taiwan | ELTA Sports 3 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (467/521) | 77% (258/334) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (467/521) | 77% (258/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (30/43) | 45% (28/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 87% (172/198) | 57% (50/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 61% (14/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Bednarek J. 🟥,
- 12', 1 - 0, Gibbs-White M. ⚽, Williams N. (A),
- 16', Wood Ch. ↓, Igor Jesus ↑,
- 32', Moffi T. 🟨,
- 36', Costa A. 🟨,
- 40', Hutchinson O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Zaidu ↓, Moura F. ↑,
- 46', Veiga G. ↓, Kiwior J. ↑,
- 46', Costa A. ↓, Froholdt V. ↑,
- 46', Sainz B. ↓, Varela A. ↑,
- 46', Hutchinson O. ↓, Hudson-Odoi C. ↑,
- 65', Ndoye D. ↓, Milenkovic N. ↑,
- 66', Moffi T. ↓, Gul D. ↑,
- 72', Murillo ↓, Morato ↑,
- 72', Hudson-Odoi C. ↓, Bakwa D. ↑,
- 90', William Gomes 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nottingham Forest
40.4% | Draw
30.5% | Porto
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nottingham Forest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Nottingham Forest - Porto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.2) |
3.14 ↓
(3.34) |
3.26 ↓
(3.35) |
4.7%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest - Porto?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Porto will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 22% – 61.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Porto (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Nottingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Nottingham might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Nottingham: Awoniyi T.
(Inactive)
Boly W.
(Knee Injury)
John Victor
(Knee Injury)
Netz L.
(Inactive)
Savona N.
(Knee Injury)
da Silva Moreira E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Porto: Fernandes M.
(Injury)
Karamoh Y.
(Inactive)
Perez N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Pietuszewski O.
(Inactive)
Samu
(Knee Injury)
de Jong L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nottingham: Anderson E.
(Personal Reasons)
Cunha
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Nottingham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Nottingham Forest won against Porto?
Nottingham Forest has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Nottingham Forest?
Porto has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nottingham Forest - Porto were as follows:
09.04.2026
Porto
-
Nottingham Forest
1:1
23.10.2025
Nottingham Forest
-
Porto
2:0
Latest results of Nottingham Forest
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | 0 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | 1 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | 4 : 3, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Braga (6) | Betis (4) | 4 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Freiburg (7) | Celta Vigo (16) | 3 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 3 | FC Porto (5) | Nottingham (13) | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Bologna (10) | Aston Villa (2) | 0 : 4, 1 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Braga (6) | Freiburg (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Nottingham (13) | Aston Villa (2) | 1 : 0 |
Final
