Result
0:0
31/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 22
- Referee: Mucera G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.94 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (265/349) | 83% (343/414) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (265/349) | 83% (343/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (18/56) | 59% (40/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (49/83) | 68% (108/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 21% (6/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.96 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 50% (12/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', De Luca M. 🟨,
- 45', Nador S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ignacchiti L. ↓, Shpendi S. ↑,
- 56', Shpendi S. 🟨,
- 67', De Luca M. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
- 68', Massolin Y. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
- 68', Beyuku G. ↓, Zanimacchia L. ↑,
- 70', Ceesay J. ↓, Candela A. ↑,
- 70', Ilie R. ↓, Yepes G. ↑,
- 70', Nasti M. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
- 73', Mendes P. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
- 79', Elia S. ↓, Moruzzi B. ↑,
- 81', Nador S. 🟨,
- 83', Defrel G. ↓, Adorni D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Empoli
26.8% | Draw
29.7% | Modena
43.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Empoli - Modena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↓
(3.55) |
3.13 ↓
(3.18) |
2.17 ↑
(2.08) |
6.7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Empoli - Modena?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Modena will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 2.5% – 64.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Modena (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 3.
- Recent performances by Empoli have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Modena has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Empoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Modena could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Empoli: Indragoli G.
(Inactive)
Konate I.
(Inactive)
Pellegri P.
(Injury)
Romagnoli S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Modena: Sersanti A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Modena: Santoro S.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Modena?
Empoli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Empoli?
Modena has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Modena were as follows:
24.10.2025
Modena
-
Empoli
2:1
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
