Result
1:1
22/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Aperi S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Athletic Palermo
60.3% | Draw
24.5% | Gela
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Palermo's performance.Gela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Palermo than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Palermo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gela than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Athletic Palermo - Gela Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.75) |
3.69 ↑
(3.4) |
5.93 ↑
(4.28) |
10.7%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 7).
- Athletic Palermo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Gela's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Gela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Athletic Palermo is the team to beat.
- We predict that Athletic Palermo will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Athletic Palermo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Palermo won against Gela?
Athletic Palermo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gela won against Athletic Palermo?
Gela has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Palermo - Gela were as follows:
19.10.2025
Gela
-
Athletic Palermo
0:1
Latest results of Athletic Palermo
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 47:25 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | Igea Virtus | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 41:21 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Athletic Palermo | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 46:29 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | Reggina | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Nissa | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 47 |
| 6 | Gelbison | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 40 |
| 7 | Milazzo | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 27:28 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | Gela | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 35:34 | 1 | 37 |
| 9 | Sambiase | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 25:21 | 4 | 36 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 34:25 | 9 | 35 |
| 11 | Enna | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 41:39 | 2 | 30 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20:28 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 26 |
| 14 | Sancataldese | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:37 | -10 | 24 |
| 15 | ACR Messina | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 23:26 | -3 | 23 |
| 16 | AS Acireale | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 32:44 | -12 | 23 |
| 17 | Castrumfavara | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21:38 | -17 | 21 |
| 18 | Paterno | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 15:53 | -38 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
