Cardiff City vs Bolton Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff).

League One - Round 43
Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.96	0.23
Ball possession
51%	49%
Total shots
19	6
Shots on target
5	1
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
8	1
Passes
80% (322/405)	78% (310/400)
Yellow cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
1.96	0.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.65	0.08
Total shots
19	6
Shots on target
5	1
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked shots
7	2
Shots inside the box
12	3
Shots outside the box
7	3
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
8	1
Touches in opposition box
42	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	1
Free kicks
7	16
Passes
80% (322/405)	78% (310/400)
Long passes
36% (21/58)	35% (20/57)
Passes in final third
71% (103/145)	60% (57/95)
Crosses
17% (3/18)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.20	0.25
Throw ins
17	23
Fouls
16	7
Tackles
50% (5/10)	53% (9/17)
Duels won
38	50
Clearances
19	30
Interceptions
10	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.08	2.65
Goals prevented
0.08	0.65

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Kellyman O. ⚽, Bagan J. (A),
52', 2 - 0, Willock C. ⚽, Robertson A. (A),
60', Gale T. ↓, Apter R. ↑,
60', Christie C. ↓, Cozier-Duberry A. ↑,
60', Dempsey K. ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
70', Bagan J. 🟨,
77', Willock C. ↓, Scanlon C. ↑,
77', Robertson A. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
78', Colwill R. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
83', Burstow M. ↓, Ritchie T. ↑,
88', Kellyman O. ↓, Salech Y. ↑,

Chances of winning

Cardiff City
51.2%

Draw
23.8%

Bolton Wanderers
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

25.5%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

25.4%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Cardiff City - Bolton Wanderers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.94)	3.93 ↑ (3.6)	3.75 ↑ (3.39)	6.8% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Bolton Wanderers?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Bolton will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 11.9% – 76.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Bolton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Cardiff is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Cardiff: Davies I. (Hamstring Injury) King E. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Bolton: Blackett-Taylor C. (Thigh Injury) Erhahon E. (Inactive) Forss M. (Hamstring Injury) Simons X. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Cardiff: Lawlor D. (Inactive) Osho G. (Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Bolton Wanderers?

Cardiff City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Cardiff City?

Bolton Wanderers has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:

25.10.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Cardiff City 1:0

Latest results of Cardiff City

06.04.2026 Peterborough United - Cardiff City 1:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Cardiff City - Blackpool 0:0 ✺

17.03.2026 Cardiff City - Wycombe Wanderers 0:2 ✺

14.03.2026 Exeter City - Cardiff City 0:4 ✺

10.03.2026 Barnsley - Cardiff City 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Bolton Wanderers

06.04.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Stockport County 2:2 ✺

03.04.2026 Plymouth Argyle - Bolton Wanderers 1:2 ✺

21.03.2026 Port Vale - Bolton Wanderers 1:0 ✺

17.03.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Doncaster Rovers 0:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Rotherham United - Bolton Wanderers 2:2 ✺

English League One Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln ✔	46	31	10	5	89:41	48	103
2	Cardiff ✔	46	27	10	9	90:50	40	91
3	Stockport County	46	22	11	13	71:58	13	77
4	Bradford City	46	22	11	13	58:51	7	77
5	Bolton ✔	46	19	18	9	70:52	18	75
6	Stevenage	46	21	12	13	49:46	3	75
7	Luton	46	21	11	14	68:56	12	74
8	Plymouth	46	22	7	17	75:63	12	73
9	Huddersfield	46	18	13	15	74:64	10	67
10	Mansfield	46	16	17	13	62:50	12	65
11	Wycombe	46	17	12	17	69:58	11	63
12	Reading	46	16	15	15	64:60	4	63
13	Blackpool	46	17	9	20	54:65	-11	60
14	Doncaster	46	17	9	20	50:69	-19	60
15	Barnsley	46	15	14	17	68:73	-5	59
16	Wigan	46	14	14	18	49:58	-9	56
17	Burton	46	13	15	18	50:60	-10	54
18	Peterborough	46	15	8	23	64:68	-4	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	15	8	23	51:72	-21	53
20	Leyton Orient	46	14	10	22	59:71	-12	52
21	Exeter	46	12	13	21	52:61	-9	49
22	Port Vale ✔	46	10	12	24	36:61	-25	42
23	Rotherham ✔	46	10	11	25	41:71	-30	41
24	Northampton ✔	46	9	8	29	39:74	-35	35

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two